[The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates three times before the end of the year has risen to 71%] The non-farm payroll report was weaker than expected, and futures market traders are significantly leaning towards more rate cuts in 2025. Traders still strongly expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in September. Currently, traders believe that the probability of three rate cuts by the end of this year is 71%, up from 46% a day ago. The likelihood of the Fed lowering rates only once or less before the end of the year has fallen from 7.9% a day ago to 1.5%.
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The likelihood of the Fed lowering interest rates three times before the end of the year has risen to 71%.
[The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates three times before the end of the year has risen to 71%] The non-farm payroll report was weaker than expected, and futures market traders are significantly leaning towards more rate cuts in 2025. Traders still strongly expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in September. Currently, traders believe that the probability of three rate cuts by the end of this year is 71%, up from 46% a day ago. The likelihood of the Fed lowering rates only once or less before the end of the year has fallen from 7.9% a day ago to 1.5%.