#美联储维持利率不变 📉

BTC 15 minutes · Support + Resistance + Operations (Based on New Low 69050)

Information for reference only, not investment advice

I. Support Levels (By Strength)

- First Strong Support (Critical Line): 69050 (New Low)
- Hold → Rebound with oscillation; Break → Accelerated downward exploration
- Second Support (Concentrated Trading): 68800–68900
- First catchment level after 69050 breakdown
- Third Support (Strong Structure): 68500
- Previous platform + Bollinger Band lower rail
- Extreme Support: 68000 (Only reached with extreme volume breakdowns)

II. Resistance Levels (Near to Far)

- First Resistance (Strongest Short-term): 69500–69700
- Previous concentrated trading + MA5/MA10, first roadblock for rebound
- Second Resistance (Long/Short Dividing Line): 70000
- Whole number level + MA30, stability indicates strengthening
- Third Resistance (Medium-term Strong): 70400–70500
- Previous platform + Trendline, breakthrough difficult

III. Chart Analysis (15 minutes)

- Moving Averages: MA5/10/30 bearish alignment → Rebounds meet resistance
- Pattern: 69050 as low point → Rebound below 70000 indicates continued weakness
- Indicators: RSI≈25–30 (Oversold); MACD below zero axis, green bars narrowing → Rebound demand present, not reversal
- Volume: Breakdowns with volume, rebounds with declining volume → Selling pressure remains heavy, difficult to sustain gains

IV. Operating Suggestions (Short-term, Strict Risk Control)

1. Short Positions (Trend Priority)

- Entry: Rebound to 69500–69700 with resistance, light position short
- Stop Loss: 70000 (Short invalid if it holds)
- Targets: 69200 → 69050 → On breakdown see 68800

2. Long Positions (Counter-rebound, Light Position Quick Exit)

- Entry: Near 69050 stabilization (long lower wick + volume contraction), light position test long
- Stop Loss: 68800 (Exit on breakdown)
- Targets: 69500 (Take profit immediately on resistance, don't aim higher)

3. Risk Control (Must Read)

- Position Size: Single direction ≤10%, strict stop loss
- Key: Don't go long without breaking above 70000, don't go short without breaking below 69050
- Don't chase shorts, don't bottom fish, wait for signals before acting

V. One-Look Judgment

- ✅ Breaks above 70000 → Short-term strengthening, watch 70400–70500
- ❌ Breaks below 69050 → Bearish acceleration, directly watch below 68800