#比特币流动性 Full-time trading until day 34, the first thing in the morning is to check the holdings—profit has directly retraced half. Yesterday’s needle-like move turned out to be the actual low point.

After repeatedly analyzing the market trend, I finally understood a principle: $BTC such large-scale declines are never straight down. There are often rebounds in between, and this is the opportunity to short at high points. But here’s where it gets stuck—players with large capital sizes may lose more in a single loss, but their large base allows them to withstand it; small capital players have to wait for a complete rebound cycle, which takes too much time and the returns don’t cover the transaction fees. Conversely, large capital losses can also be huge.

The left brain is calculating probabilities, the right brain is calculating time, and both are competing. Bitcoin’s liquidity determines the market rhythm, and the rhythm in turn determines the profit logic for different capital sizes. Should we stick to the pattern or accelerate in and out?