NOT Coin Price Trend Analysis

As the first phenomenal GameFi project in the TON (The Open Network) ecosystem, Notcoin (NOT) has continuously attracted market attention since its launch in May 2024 with its viral ‘click mining’ mechanism and deep integration with Telegram. As of May 20, 2025, the price of NOT has stabilized in the range of 0.00160 - 0.003 US dollars, with a market value of approximately 283 million US dollars, ranking among the top 200 cryptocurrencies. This article will deeply analyze the price trajectory, ecological support, and market expectations of the NOT token.

NOT Price Movement: Cycle Recurrence from Eruption to Oscillation

NOT price movement Perfectly embodies the typical characteristics of Meme coins - short-term explosiveness and high volatility coexisting:

• Historical Peak: On June 2, 2024, NOT hit a historical high of 0.029 US dollars, with a 190% increase from the initial price of 0.01 US dollars, and the market value once exceeded 3 billion US dollars.
• Deep retracement: Affected by the overall market adjustment and profit-taking pressure, NOT fell to a low of $0.0017 in April 2025, shrinking by over 90% from its peak.
• Cyclical recovery: Starting from May 2025, with the significant increase in on-chain DeFi activities, the price of NOT gradually rose to $0.016 - $0.020, with a 30-day increase of 46.29%.

From a technical perspective, NOT is currently facing a key resistance level of $0.003, with a potential challenge to $0.005 if broken; conversely, if it falls below the support of $0.0015, it may retract to $0.0012. It is worth noting that NOT’s 24-hour trading volume/market cap ratio is at 15.81%, indicating that the market activity of NOT may be relatively low.

Ecological Support: TON Network Expansion and GameFi Evolution

The value anchoring of NOT cannot be separated from the continuous prosperity of the TON ecosystem:

1. Telegram User Conversion Engine: The deep integration of TON with Telegram provides NOT with a potential traffic pool of 900 million monthly active users. Users can directly participate in NOT mining and trading through the Telegram built-in wallet, significantly reducing Web3 Threshold.
2. Infrastructure upgrade: The high throughput (theoretical TPS exceeds one million) and low transaction cost (about $0.04) of the TON network provide technical support for high-frequency game interaction, supporting the “click-to-mine” model of NOT.
3. Ecological synergy: Mainstream exchanges such as Gate continue to list TON ecological projects (such as Hamster Kombat, Catizen), and attract capital inflows through Launchpool, indirectly enhancing the liquidity premium of NOT.

In addition, the token economic model of NOT strengthens community stickiness:

• No pre-mining mechanism: 78% of the tokens are allocated to early participants through game mining to avoid the risk of whale control.
• Full circulation strategy: 100% release upon token listing, reducing inflationary pressure, but early miner selling should be guarded against.

Market Expectations: Growth Potential in Disagreement

There is a significant divergence in the future predictions of institutions and analysts for NOT.

2025年

• Conservative model: WalletInvestor predicts an average price of 0.0065 US dollars, with a fluctuation range of 0.0045 - 0.0082 US dollars.
• Optimistic scenario: DigitalCoinPrice predicts that the price may break through $0.0557, if the TON ecosystem users exceed 200 million, the increase may exceed 300%.

2030

• Technicians: CoinCodex believes that NOT may rise to $0.0894, provided that GameFi and SocialFi merge to form economies of scale.
• Risk scenario: If the Meme coin frenzy subsides or the TON ecosystem growth slows down, NOT may stay below 0.01 US dollars for an extended period of time.

Investment strategy: Three principles of balancing returns and risks

1. Trend tracking: Pay attention to the on-chain USDT trading volume of TON (current daily median of P2P trades ranging from 15 to 100 US dollars) and the mining activity of NOT within Telegram, both of which are strongly positively correlated with price.
2. Portfolio allocation: Pairing NOT with assets such as BTC, TON, etc., to diversify the risk of fluctuations in a single Meme coin. It is recommended not to exceed 5% of the portfolio allocation.
3. Technical indicator assistance: Combine RSI (overbought threshold 70) with MACD golden cross signal, gradually build positions below 0.015 US dollars, and gradually take profits after breaking through 0.025 US dollars.

Conclusion: Reassessment of the value of Web3 traffic entry

The long-term value of NOT depends on three variables: the speed of TON ecosystem expansion, GameFi gameplay innovation, and market sentiment cycles. If NOT realizes the vision of ‘crypto game Netflix’, it may open up tenfold growth space. Investors need to be alert to high volatility risks, considering it as a tool for configuring ecosystem beta returns rather than a stable asset target.