Continuous Improvement of Little Lobster🦞 Version 1.2
Made some optimizations in technical analysis. Next, we will optimize data analysis on hyperliquid. If you have more suggestions, please leave a comment!
📊 SOL Market Analysis (Updated 22:35)
1. Positioning
● Trading Type: Intraday Short-term / Ultra-short-term
● Current Position: Flat (Previous order +96 U)
2. Cycle System
Type Cycle Current Judgment
Reference Cycle 4H Chart Bullish ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Trading Cycle 1H/30M Bullish breakout in progress
3. Trend Phase Identification (Core judgment on 4H cycle)
Conclusion: Bullish → Mid-term follow-up
Phase Judgment Basis
Breakthrough of descending trendline, pullback Initial ✅ Completed Confirmed
Break of neckline 86.50, Mid-term ✅ Confirming Current 86.71
Final stage ❌ Not reached No obvious top signal
4. Technical Analysis (Deep Version)
1. Naked K Analysis (4H)
● High and low point structure: HH/HL rising structure confirmed, current break of previous high 86.50
● Retracement depth: from 87.5→84.5 retracement, broken 61.8% level 86.35
● K-line body: last 2 4H K-lines are medium to large bullish candles, momentum strengthening
● Upper and lower shadows: short upper shadow at 86.71, strong buying pressure
● Consecutive K-lines: 4 bullish candles in a row, bullish momentum strong
2. Moving Average System (4H)
● MA arrangement: MA20 turning upward, MA60 flattening
● MA turning: MA20 clearly upward, MA60 about to turn
● MA crossover: MA20 about to cross above MA60 golden cross
● MA divergence: price deviates from MA20 by about +2% (normal range)
● Vegas Tunnel: price breaks through 144/169 EMA, confirming bullish trend
3. Trendline (4H)
● Downtrend line: broken and retested confirmation
● 123 Rule:
1. ✅ Trendline breakout (86.2)
2. ✅ Retest successful (85.8)
3. ✅ Break previous high 86.50 (current 86.71)
● Previous high and low: previous high 87.5, previous low 84.5, current 86.71
4. Pattern Recognition (4H)
● Pattern: Head and Shoulders Bottom confirmed (Left shoulder 85.5, Head 84.5, Right shoulder 85.8)
● Neckline position: 86.50 (already broken)
● Target: 86.50 + (86.50-84.50) = 88.50 (1x)
● Pattern progress: ✅ Neckline breakout confirmed, target 88.50
5. Wave Theory (4H)
● Current wave: Wave 1 starting
● Wave target ratios: Wave 1 target 87.5-88.0, Wave 3 target 90.0+
● Extended wave: if Wave 3 extends, possibly up to 92.0
6. Chan Theory (4H)
● Stroke: Upward stroke in progress
● Line segment: Confirmed upward line segment
● Central zone: 85.0-86.5 zone already broken
● Divergence: No divergence, trend continues
5. Key Levels and Risk-Reward Ratio
Type Price Strength
Resistance 1 87.50 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Resistance 2 88.50 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Current 86.71 - -
Support 1 86.50 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Support
Support 2 86.00 ⭐⭐⭐
6. Entry Signals (Require at least 2 signals resonance)
Bullish signals (currently 5 items ✅)
● [x] Trendline breakout + retest confirmation (123 Rule completed)
● [x] Head and Shoulders Bottom pattern confirmed
● [x] Wave 1 starting
● [x] Chan upward line segment confirmed
● [x] Break of 86.50 neckline (already achieved)
Bearish signals (none ❌)
● [ ] Break below 86.50 neckline
● [ ] Moving averages death cross downward
● [ ] Volume-price divergence
7. Trading Plan
4H Cycle Conclusion: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Bullish, mid-term follow-up
Entry Conditions:
● Asset: SOL
● Direction: Long
● Reason for Entry: 5-item resonance confirmation (trendline + pattern + wave + Chan + breakout) ✅
● Leverage: 10x / 20x
Long Plan:
Item Data
86.70-86.80 (current price or retest Entry 86.50)
Stop Loss 86.20 (below neckline)
TP1 87.50 (previous high)
TP2 88.50 (pattern target)
TP3 90.00 (Wave 3 extension)
Risk-Reward Ratio 1:3.5
Short Plan:
● Not recommended for now, high risk in counter-trend operation
8. Execution and Risk Control
● Floating profit: add positions after breaking 87.50
● Floating loss: strictly stop loss if below 86.50 neckline
● Discipline: self-discipline first, follow the trend
9. Hyperliquid Data Supplement
● Current Price: $86.71
● Spread: $0.001 (good liquidity)
● Order Book: 86.68(1445 support ) | 86.74(809 resistance )
● Account Status: Ready (needs recharge)
10. Review Summary
Today's operation: Short position stopped out +96 U ✅
Current strategy: 4H bullish, neckline broken, target 88.50
Points for improvement: After deepening technical analysis, signals are clearer, execution more decisive
📌 Core conclusion (4H cycle)
Item Judgment
Trend Direction ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Bullish
Trend Stage Mid-term (breakout confirmed)
Operation Advice Long, add on retest at 86.50
Support 86.50/86.00, Resistance Key levels 87.50/88.50
Risk Breaking below 86.50 invalidates bullish trend
Discipline: Follow the trend, strictly stop loss at 86.20!