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Can AI weaponry turn the tide of the Taiwan Strait war? From the warning of Anduril founder Luckey, examining Taiwan's defensive strategy against China.
China has been continuously intimidating Taiwan through both verbal and military threats. In the future, if a lightning war is launched against Taiwan, targeting its networks and using missiles to collapse Taiwan's defenses, while the United States, as an ally, is slow to respond and unable to provide timely support, Taiwan could fall quickly. In response, Palmer Luckey, founder of the American defense technology company Anduril Industries, publicly raised alarms during a TED talk on April 26, sharing how to use AI military technology to rebuild military resistance.
China could capture Taiwan within weeks, and U.S. military support will last less than eight days.
Luckey opened with a direct warning, assuming China launches a surprise attack on Taiwan, missiles incapacitating air force bases and command centers, and cyber attacks rendering Taiwan completely unable to respond.
The United States attempted to provide support, but found itself lacking sufficient weapons, vehicles, and response capabilities. This led to:
A U.S. naval vessel was sunk in the Pacific by anti-ship missiles.
Insufficient number of aircraft and many shot down.
The U.S. precision munitions stockpile was exhausted in just eight days.
Taiwan then succumbed to the heavy pressure and fell within a few weeks, leading to a collapse of the global economy.
Taiwan's chip supply disruption, global economic collapse
Luckey pointed out that Taiwan is the global production center for advanced AI chips, controlling over 90% of advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
Assuming Taiwan's semiconductor factories are controlled or destroyed by China:
mobile phone
computer
car
medical equipment
The above industries will be completely paralyzed, with economic losses reaching tens of trillions of dollars, triggering the most severe depression in a century. But what is even more terrifying is that the global order of freedom will be replaced by Chinese authoritarianism.
The U.S. defense industry is stagnating, and the tech industry is shifting its money towards China.
Luckey harshly criticized that traditional U.S. defense contractors are stagnant, prioritizing shareholder profits over technological innovation. The Silicon Valley tech industry has also shifted to "money going to China," neglecting national defense security. As a result, the U.S. military's weapon intelligence is not as advanced as civilian technology:
Tesla ('s AI is smarter than the U.S. military aircraft.
The autonomous capability of the Roomba vacuum robot is stronger than the weapon systems of the Pentagon.
Snapchat's image recognition for filters is more advanced than military sensors.
The image shows the Roomba vacuum cleaner robot and Snapchat filters being dismissed by Facebook, turning to national defense, with Luckey using private funding to create a new AI national defense military.
Luckey, after being expelled from Facebook ), chose to invest in national defense and founded Anduril.
Unlike traditional defense contractors, Anduril develops defense products with private funding, not relying on government budgets, which allows for faster and more cost-effective development of various innovative AI weapons. For example:
AI Drone
AI Submarine
AR battle helmet
The anti-drone weapon system Roadrunner was designed and deployed in actual combat within just 24 months.
Emphasizing the use of a large number of AI weapons to restore resistance.
Luckey stressed that the United States cannot catch up with China's overwhelming numerical superiority in the traditional way of shipbuilding and tank building. What is really needed is AI weapon systems that can be quickly mass-produced and continuously upgraded. And the key to future victory and defeat is:
Enhancing existing manpower and weapons with AI
Suppress the enemy with AI unmanned systems
Use rapid manufacturing and optimization to counter enemy numbers.
Luckey claims that China's current shipbuilding capacity is 232 times that of the United States, led by AI, for fast, flexible, and sustainable operations.
Luckey pointed out that AI is the only weapon capable of breaking through the Chinese human wave tactics. The United States should develop a new type of force that "relies on intelligence and speed rather than large numbers." This way, it can avoid incurring a massive manpower cost and win future wars.
Moreover, AI can enhance the accuracy of combat judgment, reduce collateral damage, and even decrease the likelihood of war.
The Moral Challenges of AI Military Weapons: "If the United States Doesn't Do It, Authoritarian Countries Will"
Regarding the moral controversy of the "killing machine," Luckey stated:
"Not letting AI fire" sounds nice, but in reality it is more irresponsible.
AI can distinguish targets and reduce misfires, such as being able to identify school buses and enemy tanks.
AI-based weapons have existed for a long time, such as Aegis Aegis systems, automatic defense weapons, etc
He emphasized that if the United States abandons the development of AI military weapons, authoritarian countries like China and Russia will definitely take the lead, making the world even more dangerous.
Taiwan Strait war simulation, using AI unmanned fleet for comprehensive counterattack
Luckey finally portrayed another version of the Taiwan Strait War:
When Chinese missiles attack, the stationed AI drone swarm immediately counterattacks, intercepting enemy missiles and bombers.
AI submarines, unmanned warships, and stealth aircraft launch surprise attacks, completely disrupting China's offensive.
AI fighter jets can even shoot down enemy aircraft at speeds that surpass human reactions.
Robots on the ground and remote strike weapons to prevent Chinese troops from landing.
Only in such a situation can the opponent truly feel the "cost of not being able to win" and restore peace through deterrence.
Use technology to safeguard freedom, use innovation to prevent war.
Luckey ultimately calls for Taiwan and the United States to rethink their approach to war and deterrence, combining technological innovation with the strength of traditional allies to safeguard the freedom and prosperity of future generations.
(Anduril's Rise: From VR Dreamer to Trump-Favored Defense Giant, Founder Luckey Invests $1 Billion to Build a Drone Army)
This article discusses whether the Taiwan Strait War can be turned around by AI military weapons. It looks at Taiwan's defense strategy against China, as warned by Anduril founder Luckey, first appearing in Chain News ABMedia.