Lucaa

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This is my portfolio:
Defensive (30-35% of Portfolio Exposure)
- Treasury Bonds: $TLT, $TLH, $SHY
- Consumer Staples: $TGT, $UPS, $KO
- Healthcare: $LLY, $UNH, $OSCR, $HIMS
- Consumer Discretionary: $LULU, $BABA, $JD, $UBER
Cash (5-10% of Portfolio Exposure)
Growth/Risk Assets (65-70%)
- Tech: $TSLA, $ORCL, $SNOW, $MSFT
- FinTech: $HOOD, $COIN, $PYPL
- Bitcoin Proxies: $IREN, $CIFR, $MSTR
Your thoughts.
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$OIL - Still distributing around this HTF resistance that marked the macro top in 2022.
Even with this short-term volatility, the mid-term trend will shift to the downside sooner or later.
That would align with a final ceasefire deal.
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$SPY - Not much has changed since my last update.
​Price continues to consolidate while slowly pushing higher, moving toward the high-timeframe resistance range marked in red, aligning with the 1.414–1.618 Fibonacci levels I highlighted a few weeks ago.
​That’s where I believe we’re more likely to see distribution, with liquidity starting to rotate into other assets that are still sitting in high-timeframe accumulation ranges on the mid-term.
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$IWM - Looking good after the Bullish Backtest from a couple of days ago.
Continuation to the upside is the most likely outcome from here.
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$ETH - The price has managed to reclaim the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months and the main support throughout this move higher.
​Because of this, as I’ve said before, as long as price continues to hold above this range, I believe the most likely outcome remains further upside, with the next key POI being the lost high-timeframe support around $2.7K, where we could see a short-term rejection before continuation higher.
ETH-0.01%
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NexaCrypto:
To The Moon 🌕
Bears are getting SQUEEZED.
$BTC
BTC0.85%
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NexaCrypto:
To The Moon 🌕
$MSFT Valuation Report live for all free members.
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Just made one of our Valuation Reports accessible for all free members on $MSFT.
You can check it out here and see how we make our earnings reports, especially throughout this earnings season:
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There's a 50% chance $BTC breaks above $120K this year.
BTC0.85%
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This is the perfect-looking Liquidation Heatmap for Max Fuckery to emerge on the low-timeframes.
Avoid leverage.
$BTC
BTC0.85%
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This is the part where I say
Max Fuckery.
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For the first time ever, we've made the Macro Regime Breakdown accessible to everyone, even non-members.
We share this report, along with many others on a Weekly Basis for members.
This is the most comprehensive macro analysis you'll read today:
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$META looks like a good buy inside this high-timeframe support.
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While $BTC is rallying, and most still calling this a "fakeout rally", funding rates are still nearing, or sitting in negative territories.
Generally, this aligns with durable bottoming formations on the high-timeframes.
It's time for Bitcoin to shine.
BTC0.85%
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🚨On-Chain Alert:
Over the past couple of hours, we’ve seen a familiar setup.
Price down
Open-Interest up
Funding Rates down
This shows us bears are doubling down in real time.
May see a short-squeeze soon. 👀
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Happy Sunday everyone!
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This week will be massive for $BTC proxies:
$MSTR on Tuesday
$HUT and $IONQ on Wednesday
$COIN and $IREN on Thursday
$WULF on Friday
Will share updates on all of them tomorrow. Stay tuned!
BTC0.85%
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My price predictions for $BTC proxies by EoY:
$COIN -> $400+
$MSTR -> $350+
$MARA -> $17+
$CLSK -> $20+
$IREN -> $95+
$CIFR - $40+
BTC0.85%
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🚨 What’s holding markets up:
Strong earnings
AI capital flows
Megacap concentration
🚨 What’s pushing back:
Higher yields
Higher oil
Tighter liquidity
The question is which side gives up first?
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🚨The current macro setup:
Strong growth
Tight labor market
Global RE markets bleeding
Rising energy prices
Sticky inflation pressure
Fed stuck on policy
Financial conditions tightening
Equity markets at all-time highs
Now's the time to be diversified, not overexposed.
Finding predictability in unpredictability is the best thing any investor can do right now.
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