【ETHUSDT Signal】Short-term pullback, structure intact, waiting for low-absorption confirmation


Price has declined from the 4H cycle high of 2123.25 to 2092.36, but key structural support remains unbroken. The 4H cycle shows that the last candlestick (16:00) has extremely shrinking trading volume at 648.255, only one-thousandth of the previous high-volume bearish candlestick (12:00, volume 628325.52), indicating that selling pressure is exhausting at key levels. Open interest (OI) remains stable at 2.01 million, with funds not massively exiting positions. The 1H cycle RSI (46.01) has entered a neutral-to-weak zone, with price pulling back to test the 1H EMA50 (2091.91) and temporarily stabilizing. The buy/sell ratio fell to an extreme value of 0.33 in the last hour, showing short-term sentiment is overly pessimistic, but price has not experienced a corresponding sharp drop, suggesting signs of shorts bluffing.

🎯 Direction: Pending buy order

⚡ Entry: 2085.00 - 2090.00

🛑 Stop Loss: 2050.00

🚀 Target: 2145.00 / 2177.00

🛡 Strategy: When price reaches target 1, reduce position by half and move the stop loss of remaining position to entry price.

Logic: The current pullback is essentially a washout of long floating positions that chased the high-volume decline during the 12:00-13:00 period. Major capital completed the wash with a quick sharp drop but did not cause OI to decline, indicating that shorts have not established effective new positions. Price found dual support in the 1H EMA50 and the previous 4-hour platform high (approximately 2085-2090) area, accompanied by sharp volume contraction, which is a typical "washout-style pullback" characteristic. The path of least resistance remains upward, as shorts cannot break below key support levels with volume, instead exposing their insufficient strength. The deep logic is that the market is using a "fake crash" to create panic, with the purpose of collecting cheap chips for subsequent rallies.

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