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ETH在1H级别经历3030-2886的下跌段后,目前处于下跌后的横向修复区间。
当前价格运行在前一轮反弹中枢2930–2950区间,属于多空博弈密集带。
结构上判断为:
下跌趋势未反转,但空头动能衰减,进入可做波段区间
MACD(1H)
空头柱持续缩短,DIFF向DEA收敛,空头动能明显减弱,但尚未形成有效金叉,说明行情处于 弱反弹 + 未反转阶段。
BOLL(1H)
价格围绕中轨震荡,上轨压制明显2980–3000,下轨支撑上移至2900一线,结构为箱体运行。
回踩中枢支撑,指标不破位,博修复反弹。进场:2932
反弹至上方压力区,动能衰竭,顺结构做空,进场:2978
当前ETH的市场情绪处于 “空头主导但已进入获利了结阶段”。
下方存在明显承接资金,上方追涨意愿不足,短期更偏向区间震荡 + 波段轮动,而非趋势单边。