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XRP suddenly surged today, with a single-day increase of 3.6%, and the price directly broke through the key resistance level of $2.28. More notably, on-chain data shows that over 20,000 new wallet addresses were added in the past 48 hours—this is the highest record in eight months. What signals are being released behind this abnormal trend? **ETF window is opening, are institutions betting?** Canary Capital and 21Shares' XRP ETF applications have entered a critical 20-day review window. This timing is very delicate. Recall that after Bitcoin spot ETFs were approved last year, BTC prices doubled in the following months. If XRP's ETF gets approved, it means traditional financial funds can directly allocate to XRP, and $2.80 might just be a stepping stone. The question is whether the market will preemptively overestimate this expectation. This depends on whether subsequent capital flows remain sustained. **On-chain data speaks: not just retail investors playing** The most interesting aspect this time is the on-chain performance. When the price broke out, trading volume surged by 86%, but during the pullback, there was clear support around $2.31. The addition of over 20,000 wallets is not something retail investors can casually generate. Large holders may be quietly accumulating. Historically, when on-chain activity and price increase together, it often indicates serious capital deployment rather than simple short-term speculation. **What to do now? Three practical suggestions** First, avoid blindly chasing the high. XRP is currently oscillating between $2.32 and $2.35. If you haven't positioned earlier, rushing in now may not offer a favorable risk-reward ratio. Wait and see if the $2.30 support can hold; that might be a more reasonable entry point. Second, keep an eye on the overall market. Even if XRP is strong, it’s hard to move independently of Bitcoin and the broader market sentiment. There have been cases where altcoins surged independently but then retraced 30% during market corrections. Third, always set stop-losses. If ETF news ultimately falls through or approval is delayed, the market could correct quickly. Preserving capital is always more important than catching every opportunity. In the short term, XRP's movement depends on the progress of ETF news; in the long term, it still comes down to practical application scenarios and ecosystem development. Market opportunities are always present, but only profits secured are truly yours.

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