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Last week, BTC showed a weak consolidation pattern after a failed rebound on the 4-hour chart. The market saw a volume-driven decline followed by a low-volume rebound, indicating that the current bounce is more of a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. ETH's price action mirrors BTC's, but it is noticeably weaker. The structure remains a weak rebound within a bearish trend. On-chain capital flows are showing clear signs of defensive rebalancing. Ethereum net inflows have approached $350 million. Hyperliquid and StarkNet saw net outflows of over $200 million and $167 million, respectively. In the prediction market, industry competition is being reshaped by a "points + zero-fee" strategy.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin remains in a controlled pullback for now, but its overall price structure is showing clear signs of fatigue. Ethereum is hovering around USD 2,900, while downside risks still warrant close attention. ACU surged more than 34%, driven by expanded market access. Axie Infinity’s launch of bAXS pushed AXS up by over 32%. Zerohash is in talks to raise around USD 250 million, with a potential valuation of USD 1.5 billion. Goldman Sachs expects the January FOMC meeting to be largely uneventful, with the first rate cut of the year likely starting in June. VanEck’s first AVAX spot ETF has been listed on Nasdaq.

On January 26, major crypto assets came under broad pressure as market risk appetite continued to contract. After an emotion-driven sell-off, BTC found support around $86,000 but remains below its medium-term moving averages, while ETH broke below its previous consolidation range, with volatility expanding noticeably. The Fear & Greed Index fell to 20, indicating the market is in an extreme fear zone. Meanwhile, mid- and small-cap tokens such as TAIKO, AUCTION, and BOB moved higher against the trend, driven by factors including technical upgrades, capital rotation, and supply constraints, highlighting localized sector rotation. On the narrative front, the SocialFi thesis is rapidly unwinding, with social tokens broadly down more than 90%; BTC payments are seeing accelerated offline adoption in Las Vegas; and while on-chain stablecoin settlement volumes continue to grow, their share of real-world payments remains relatively small.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 26, crypto market sentiment fell into the extreme fear zone, with major assets under pressure and risk appetite continuing to contract. Mid- and small-cap tokens such as TAIKO, AUCTION, and BOB moved higher against the broader trend, driven by technical upgrades, capital rotation, and supply constraints, indicating localized sector rotation. Structurally, the SocialFi narrative is rapidly unwinding, with social tokens broadly down more than 90%; Bitcoin payments are seeing accelerated offline adoption in Las Vegas and other locations; and while on-chain stablecoin settlement volumes continue to expand, their share of real-world payments remains below 0.02%.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 23, BTC rebounded after a sharp sell-off that previously pushed it down to around $87,000, and is now consolidating within the $89,300–$89,900 range; ETH staged a technical rebound after falling to around $2,866, but retreated after facing resistance near $3,000 and is now moving sideways between $2,930–$2,980; GT, after rebounding from lower levels, is capped by resistance near $10.10 and continues to trade in a weak consolidation pattern; XRD led small-cap tokens with a surge of +60.19%. Meanwhile, South Korean authorities reported that BTC under custody may have been stolen in a phishing attack, involving around $47 million; Citi warned that the recent surge in Ethereum on-chain activity is likely driven mainly by “address poisoning” scams; and World Liberty Financial’s partnership with Spacecoin to launch the USD1 satellite DeFi project has drawn market attention.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 23, BTC rebounded after a sharp sell-off that previously pushed it down to around $87,000, and is now consolidating within the $89,300–$89,900 range; ETH staged a technical rebound after falling to around $2,866, but retreated after facing resistance near $3,000 and is now moving sideways between $2,930–$2,980; GT, after rebounding from lower levels, is capped by resistance near $10.10 and continues to trade in a weak consolidation pattern; XRD led small-cap tokens with a surge of +60.19%. Meanwhile, South Korean authorities reported that BTC under custody may have been stolen in a phishing attack, involving around $47 million; Citi warned that the recent surge in Ethereum on-chain activity is likely driven mainly by “address poisoning” scams; and World Liberty Financial’s partnership with Spacecoin to launch the USD1 satellite DeFi project has drawn market attention.

Gate Research: BTC and ETH are consolidating at lower levels after the pullback, with downside technical pressure easing in the short term, though a clear trend reversal has yet to be confirmed. Risk appetite remains cautious: on-chain data shows whales continuing to accumulate, while sentiment indicators stay in the extreme fear zone—suggesting improving positioning but incomplete confidence recovery. Meanwhile, Ondo is bringing tokenized stocks and ETFs to Solana, further expanding RWA and on-chain securities use cases and strengthening blockchains’ capacity to host traditional financial assets. In parallel, Solayer has launched a USD 35 million ecosystem fund focused on high-performance on-chain applications, supporting both infrastructure and application layers.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH are consolidating at lower levels, with downside pressure easing but the broader trend yet to be confirmed. Capital is rotating toward lower-volatility assets and long-term narrative plays, while on-chain data shows continued accumulation by whales and sentiment remains in the extreme fear zone. Ondo has introduced tokenized equities and ETFs to Solana, further expanding RWA and on-chain securities use cases. Solayer launched a $35 million ecosystem fund focused on high-performance on-chain applications. Vitalik Buterin proposed a native DVT design to enhance decentralization in Ethereum staking. BGB, H, and MBG are set to see sizable token unlocks over the next seven days.

In 2025, the total cryptocurrency market cap showed a clear “decline—rebound—pullback” pattern. On-chain perpetual contract trading continued to expand, with liquidity and trading experience noticeably improving. Prediction market volumes surpassed $10 billion, and the growth of crypto payments accelerated the adoption of stablecoins in real-world scenarios. The Web3 sector completed nearly 1,000 financings totaling about $34.9 billion. Although the number of Web3 security incidents declined, individual losses increased significantly. Looking ahead to 2026, Bitcoin’s holdings are increasingly concentrated among large institutions and custodians, helping to enhance overall market stability.

Gate Options Daily Market Update.

On January 21, the crypto market continued to pull back and consolidate, with risk appetite cooling notably. BTC and ETH came under simultaneous pressure: BTC fell back to around USD 89,000 after breaking below its short-term moving average structure, while ETH saw a relatively larger decline and remains in a weak recovery phase, with major assets dragging on the overall index. On the thematic side, mid- and small-cap tokens such as AIA, MBG, and ARC moved against the trend, supported by narratives around AI agents, on-chain integration of traditional finance, and developer tools, highlighting clear structural divergence. From a structural perspective, Ethereum staking demand continued to improve, with unstaking pressure fading and the staked ratio approaching 30%; meanwhile, Solana’s staking ratio climbed to a record high of 68.8%, indicating that parts of the public-chain ecosystem are still attracting long-term capital. However, whether the broader market can stabilize will still depend on sentiment recove

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 21, the crypto market continued to pull back and consolidate, with risk appetite cooling notably. BTC and ETH came under simultaneous pressure: BTC fell back to around USD 89,000 after breaking below its short-term moving average structure, while ETH saw a relatively larger decline and remains in a weak recovery phase, with major assets dragging on the overall index. On the thematic side, mid- and small-cap tokens such as AIA, MBG, and ARC moved against the trend, supported by narratives around AI agents, on-chain integration of traditional finance, and developer tools, highlighting clear structural divergence. From a structural perspective, Ethereum staking demand continued to improve, with unstaking pressure fading and the staked ratio approaching 30%; meanwhile, Solana’s staking ratio climbed to a record high of 68.8%, indicating that parts of the public-chain ecosystem are still attracting long-term capital. However, whether the broader market can stabilize will stil

Last week, BTC moved into a high-level consolidation phase after the previous sharp rally, but the market structure has not flipped bearish. ETH showed greater resilience than BTC, holding up better during pullbacks. On-chain flows clearly reflect a "trading-scenario-first" trend. Capital is rotating out of low-velocity, general settlement layers and into networks with higher trading efficiency and stronger support for active strategies. Perp DEXs and prediction markets have become the main liquidity magnets in this cycle. Both Hyperliquid and Polygon PoS recorded net inflows of over $100 million. Meme activity across the Solana ecosystem is also picking up again. Bags App has risen quickly on the back of its "donation-driven" mechanic, amplifying FOMO and viral growth dynamics.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin encountered resistance near USD 97,500, while Ethereum has been trading within a range between its key support level and the USD 3,300–3,400 resistance zone. ROSE surged 34.35% over the past 24 hours, driven by accelerating capital inflows into the high-beta “privacy + AI” narrative. ARPA rose more than 51%, with the rally largely reflecting shifts in market sentiment as 24-hour trading volume expanded sharply to USD 320 million. Alpha Edge Media, a subsidiary of Aether Holdings, has acquired the institutional-grade crypto communications and media platform Coinstack. To break out of its current malaise, the crypto market may require an expansion of ETF investment mandates, with leading assets rallying to draw retail attention back. The STH-NUPL indicator shows that new investors have remained in net unrealized losses since November 2025.

Gate Research: On January 19, after a period of high-level consolidation, the crypto market saw a broad de-leveraging wave: BTC and ETH fell more than 2%, losses in altcoins widened, and risk appetite contracted. Among notable movers, DUSK surged on catalysts including its mainnet launch, RWA partnerships, and expectations of institutional adoption; NAM experienced sharp swings amid thin liquidity and a technical breakout; and FRAX rallied on its rebranding and broader ecosystem expansion. In today’s highlights, Ethereum’s staking entry queue climbed to its highest level since August 2023 while the exit queue fell to zero; Vitalik Buterin and Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko reignited debate over whether protocols should “ossify” or keep evolving, underscoring two divergent paths between long-term stability and continuous iteration; and as Vibe Coding gains momentum, supply-chain style risks tied to IDE auto-execution settings have become a growing focus for developers.