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The Altcoin index has once again climbed into the risk zone as it surpasses the 75-point mark – this is the fourth time since the market entered a bullish cycle. The previous three times occurred in January, March, and December of 2024.
Looking back at the past, whenever this index enters the risk zone, the altcoin market often falls into a "consolidation bubble". After that, BTC.D ( the dominance rate of Bitcoin ) tends to bounce back, leading to a clear weakening in the capital flow of altcoins.
The reality has proven: in March and December 2024, each time altcoin touches the risk zone, it leads to a prolonged bearish phase, causing many investors to incur heavy losses.
However, the current perspective has some differences. This time the market has many similarities with January 2024, when altcoins did not collapse strongly after a short-term excitement, but only adjusted moderately before continuing the bullish cycle. This indicates that investors need to remain cautious but not overly pessimistic.
👉 Reasonable Strategy Right Now:
• Closely monitor the movements of BTC.D – if Bitcoin gains strong dominance, reduce the proportion of altcoins.
• Prioritize holding projects with a solid foundation rather than chasing short-term trends.
• Prepare a risk management plan in advance, as the market can reverse quickly when FOMO sentiment peaks.
In summary, altcoin has returned to the "hot" zone, but this time it may resemble the scenario of January 2024 – there is still an opportunity, but only for those who know discipline and selectivity.