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坦白說,這個圈子沒有衰落,但機遇的流動性明顯被稀釋了。曾經那種普遍性的賺錢效應已經消散,現在能抓住風口的機會相比之前真的少得多。市場的參與者在增加,但真正的增量紅利在萎縮,這或許才是最大的變化。
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參與者增加、紅利萎縮,風險系數直線飆升,我的槓桿清算價又近了一步,這很合理
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普遍賺錢效應消散?不過是從0到1的紅利轉向1到100的細活兒,門檻低了,天花板也低了,一言以蔽之就是競爭變態了
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回測過去三年的周期,每次都這樣說衰落,最後還是被割,我們就這樣一遍遍交學費吧
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套利空間確實在縮水,但風暴眼裡永遠有人賭自己比別人聰明,反正我也是其中之一[狗頭]
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增量紅利萎縮就是個伪命题,只是紅利從散戶那轉向機構了,話說回來咱還是得FOMO啊