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首創期貨:成本提振叠加冷修預期,玻璃期價反彈強勁
現貨方面,浮法玻璃現貨價格1106元/噸(+0)。沙河地區價格多維持穩定,部分小幅上調10元/噸,下游適量備貨。華東市場成交偏淡,白玻變化不大,超白主流企業價格下移,中下游拿貨多維持剛需。 供應方面,國內玻璃產線在產213條,冷修停產83條,全國浮法玻璃日熔量為15.1萬噸。上週全國浮法玻璃樣本企業總庫存5256.4萬重箱,環比-65.2萬重箱,環比-1.22%,同比+21.24%。目前生產企業庫存累積,部分地區中游庫存達到高位。本週產線方面預計波動不大。節後仍有部分產線存在放水預期,若計劃如期執行,供應量或將延續下降趨勢。 需求方面,全國深加工樣本企業訂單天數均值9.3天,環比+7.9%,同比+86.4%。下游需求季節性轉弱,中下游採購積極性不高,回款為主,原片企業累庫壓力有所加大。 總體看,成本端煤炭和純碱價格大幅反彈,市場情緒受到提振,加之年後冷修預期對期價形成一定支撐,關注成本和產線變動情況。(首創期貨)