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比特幣歷史價格在底部與歷史最高點之間的變化。
- 2011 週期 (ATH:$29–$32 → 底部:$2):93%的下跌。
- 2013–2015 (ATH:$1,150–$1,200 → 底部:$170–$200):87%的下跌。
- 2017–2018 (ATH:$19,800 → 底部:$3,200):84%的下跌。
- 2021–2022 (ATH:$69,000 → 底部:約$15,500–$16,000 ):78%的下跌。
因此,我們目前見證了$126k 2025的歷史最高點,考慮到過去的80%跌幅,這個數字可能是底部,80%的跌幅會將比特幣的底部價格帶到$126k 到$30k 的範圍內。
而且通常根據歷史,這種情況發生在距離上一次歷史最高點大約1年左右。
所以我們顯然還沒有到達底部,但從這裡反彈的可能性不能完全排除。