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3.18日一凡日内总结
可以说是黑色的一天,早间思路完全符合预期,白天也分析的没错,晚间8点前就开始下跌,后连破数个支撑典位箜间,今天也控制做單,莹利2單,溃笋一單,晚间等消息落地,
凌晨2:30鲍威尔讲话,才是决定短期行情的关键变量。
若讲话偏向经济放缓、通胀粘性乃至“类滞胀”的表述,将直接强化鹰派预期,风险资产大概率承压走弱。
数据再冰冷,也抵不过一句政策表态——行情,从来都是被“嘴”牵着走。
距美联储议息仅剩一个半小时,市场提前走出下跌行情。
原本计划等待凌晨鲍威尔讲话后再布局的下跌,如今在情绪提前宣泄下已启动一轮,这也印证了当前市场对政策不确定性的高度敏感,操作上需更谨慎应对波动。