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I can see domestic real estate is heartbreaking. My house has evaporated 3 million, 50% gone, dropped 3 million over three years, averaging 1 million loss per year!
Over the past three years, the national real estate total market value is estimated to have dropped from approximately 400 trillion to about 40%, with an estimated remaining 240 trillion left. It's devastating!
2026 Real Estate Outlook: Stabilization After Bottoming Out
Multiple institutions (such as UBS, China Index Academy, and Dongwu Securities) predict the second half of 2026 may see the bottom, with new residential sales area expected to decline 6%-10%, but the decline is narrowing; policies continue to strengthen (inventory destocking, stabilizing expectations, quality housing construction), expected to gradually stabilize.
Differentiation intensifying: First-tier/core second-tier cities (such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen) show strong resilience, while remote suburbs/third and fourth-tier cities experience deeper adjustments.
Real estate as a stock asset's cash flow, rental yield has risen to around 2%, with some exceeding bank time deposits.