The probability of a government shutdown in the US this year predicted on Kalshi is currently reported at 66%.

2025-09-21 04:44:59

On September 21, according to data from the prediction market Kalshi, the market currently estimates the likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown this year at 66%. A temporary spending bill aimed at avoiding a U.S. government shutdown failed to pass in the U.S. Senate. ( Jin10 )

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