🧐The encryption panic index has suddenly dropped to 15 | What does it mean that market sentiment has officially entered the "extreme panic" zone——

In the past 24 hours, it dropped from 24 to 15, with a cliff-like plunge in sentiment;

A week ago it was still 27 (fear), a month ago it was even around 38 (neutral). Today the government opened the doors, and the sentiment has directly entered extreme panic.

The current state is typical:
The price hasn't crashed yet, but the sentiment has already collapsed.

The aftershocks of the major crash on 1011 have not dissipated, market liquidity is insufficient, uncertainty around interest rate cuts has increased, and there are more bearish factors than bullish ones. Many people are starting to call for the arrival of a bear market, which should be the main reason for the emotional collapse.

To be honest, there haven't been many times in history when it has fallen to 15!

The historical performance of Fear & Greed falling into the 10–20 range.

1️⃣Let ChatGPT summarize the situations where the index has dropped to the 10–20 range over the past few years. You can take a look at:

Late 2018 (Bitcoin $3,200) → Medium to long-term bottom
March 2020 (pandemic crash) → excellent buying point
July 2021 (China's mining ban / BTC 29,000) → Reversal bottom
June 2022 (Luna crash) → rebound point, but not the final bottom
November 2022 (FTX collapse) → BTC 15,500 true bottom
March 2023 (banking crisis) → BTC 19,000 → quick V recovery
2025 Today: Index = 15

2️⃣Let ChatGPT make some calculations based on previous data:

When Fear&Greed is in the range of 10–20,

Probability of increase in the next 1-3 months: ≈ 75%
Probability of increase in the next 6–12 months: ≈ 88%

But in the short term (the next 1-2 weeks):
Continue to explore below, the probability is still 30-40%.