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Ethereum Today Trend Analysis (2025 November 13, 2025 )
1. Capital Flow
• Institutional Trends: On November 10, institutions had a net outflow of $1.17 billion, with Ethereum outflowing $438 million, but BlackRock's ETF holdings exceeded 500,000.
• On-chain data: The total contract positions across the network decreased by 3.3% to $39.09 billion in 24 hours, with rising cautious sentiment in the market.
• Exchange supply: Dropped to a 9-year low, indicating increased confidence among long-term holders.
2. Comprehensive Judgment and Outlook
Short term ( 1-3 days )
• The probability of an upward fluctuation is relatively high.
• Potential trend: If it breaks through the resistance at $3580, it is likely to challenge the range of $3660-$3750.
• Risk point: If it falls below 3425 USD, it may test the 3350 USD support again.
Mid-term ( 1-4 weeks )
• Bullish factors: The Fusaka upgrade is approaching on December 3, (, and expectations for Layer 2 scaling are positive.
• Key observation: Whether it can hold steady at $3600 and continue to increase in volume is a medium-term bullish signal.
• Target range: After breaking through $3750, it will test the $3900-3950 area.
Operating Recommendations
• Conservative: Long with a light position above $3425, stop loss at $3380, target $3530-$3580
• Conservative: Wait for a breakout above $3600 and a retest for confirmation before entering.
• Risk control points: Control positions, exit and observe if it falls below 3400 USD.
3. Conclusion
Ethereum has shown a stabilizing rebound today, with technical aspects undergoing repair but facing significant resistance above. In the short term, pay attention to the fluctuations in the 3425-3580 USD range, while the mid-term trend will depend on the progress of the Fusaka upgrade and trading volume coordination. Overall, there is a certain foundation for a rebound, but a complete strengthening still requires breaking through key resistance and maintaining increased volume.
Note: The above analysis is based on market data as of November 13, 2025, 21:00. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, so please strictly control risks when operating. @discovery)