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#数字货币市场调整 Tonight's trend is experiencing severe Fluctuation, with a big pump followed by a sudden pullback catching many investors off guard. Is this round of market movement a short-term adjustment or a trend reversal? Let's analyze it from both the news and technical perspectives.



On the news front, UNI's governance proposal will enter the snapshot voting phase tomorrow, followed by an on-chain voting segment. Normally, this would be considered a positive expectation, but the problem is that the market has already reacted in advance—the price has already been pumped up. The key question now is: when the voting actually begins, will it act as a catalyst to further push the price up, or will it become a classic case of "good news fully priced in leads to bad news"?

On the technical chart, the hourly level shows that the MACD has just completed a golden cross, with the yellow and white lines firmly above the zero axis, seemingly indicating strong bullish momentum. However, a closer look reveals hidden risks: the RSI indicator has surged into the overbought zone above 60, indicating excessive buying sentiment. More critically, the trading volume—after a big pump, it has quickly shrunk, indicating that there is clearly insufficient capital chasing higher prices, and the bulls are running out of steam.

Several key price points need to be monitored. Upper resistance: 8.1 dollars is the first hurdle, and 8.7 dollars is a stronger resistance zone. Lower support: 7.2 dollars is an important recent support; if it breaks down, we need to see if 6.7 dollars can hold.

My judgment is: in the short term, it is highly probable that there will be a pullback followed by a rebound. It is possible to impact 8.1 dollars, but breaking through 8.7 dollars will be quite difficult. If it falls below 7.2 dollars, then the strong support area at 6.7 dollars will be a battleground.

In terms of operational suggestions, for traders who already hold long positions, $7.6 is a key bull-bear dividing line. If the price effectively stabilizes at this level, it can continue to be held, targeting the intraday resistance levels; if it falls below, it is recommended to stop loss in a timely manner. For spectators, don't rush to chase the highs; it will be more prudent to wait for effective breakout signals before entering positions.

The DeFi leader UNI is currently facing a dual test of news and technical factors, and the volatility is bound to increase. There are no everlasting myths in the market, only rational judgments based on data. It is recommended that everyone closely monitor tonight's price trends and changes in trading volume, and implement proper risk control.
UNI3.62%
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retroactive_airdropvip
· 11h ago
The volume has shrunk, those who chased the price in this wave will have to cut loss. --- It's another case of fully priced-in good news turning into unfavourable information, they always play us like this. --- If it breaks 7.6, just run, don’t be greedy buddy. --- Once the governance voting really starts, I guess no one will buy anymore, it’s so damn manipulative. --- The RSI has exploded yet they are still hyping long positions, this analysis is a bit ridiculous. --- Let’s wait and see, this market isn't stable at all, it feels like it’s going to drop further. --- Every time they talk about risk control, but in the end, it still has to be a dumb buyer. --- 8.7 can’t break through at all, the ceiling is right here. --- There is a serious divergence between volume and price, this is a signal that a bear market is coming. --- The era of making quick money is over, now we all have to rely on technology.
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LiquidatedDreamsvip
· 11h ago
It's the same old trick again, the favourable information was all traded beforehand, and as soon as the voting started, it was dumping, I've seen this too many times. --- The trading volume is shrinking, and you still dare to chase? You deserve to be played for suckers. --- If 7.2 breaks, it's heading straight for 6.7, there's no other possibility. --- UNI's current wave is really fierce, technically it looks fierce but fundamentally it's even worse. --- Let's wait and see, no rush, there are plenty of opportunities. --- RSI is already overbought and you're still shouting that long positions are strong? Haha. --- The key is still that vote; the real test is yet to come. --- I'm already trapped, I originally wanted to close position at 8, but it directly pulled back, so annoying. --- Short-term pullback and then rebound? It feels like it needs to fall deeper first. --- Insufficient volume, this is the main problem, the long positions have run out of steam. --- Those chasing the price are going to cut loss tonight, I genuinely envy them.
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TokenomicsPolicevip
· 11h ago
It's the old trick of turning fully priced-in good news into unfavourable information again, this wave of UNI is really a bit deceptive. --- As soon as the Trading Volume shrinks, you know no one is catching a falling knife, those who chase the price are all victims. --- The 7.6 line must be held, otherwise it's time to close all positions. --- The RSI has already surged to 60+, yet still wants to rise, what is this about? --- If it breaks support on the voting day, I will directly dump it. --- It's always this routine, first pump it up and then give you a big dump. --- A golden cross pattern is a golden cross pattern, but Trading Volume can't fool people. --- Let's wait and see, no rush to chase the price, this position is too dangerous. --- A shrink in volume is the biggest signal, long positions are already exhausted.
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RektButAlivevip
· 11h ago
It's the old trick of fully priced-in good news turning into Unfavourable Information again. I really don't understand this wave of UNI. Those who chase the price should reflect on it; the signal of shrinking Trading Volume is too obvious. If 7.2 breaks, it'll head straight for 6.7. I'm betting five bucks that a bunch of people will have to Cut Loss. Governance voting is like Schrödinger's Favourable Information; when it really starts, no one cares anymore. Don't ask me how to operate; I'm just watching the show for now, waiting for an effective breakout before saying anything.
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AirDropMissedvip
· 11h ago
Oh no, it's the same old trick of fully priced-in good news immediately followed by Unfavourable Information, and I always fall for it. --- When the Trading Volume shrinks, it's really time to run. How many people will get stopped out at 7.6? --- With this governance proposal, I bet five bucks there will be dumping. --- Why does it feel like UNI is being harvested this time? Should have been alert to the RSI hitting the roof long ago. --- Wait, is this really a reversal or a Whipsaw? I sincerely can't understand it anymore. --- If it breaks 7.2, I will completely close all positions and stop playing. --- Those who chased the price are probably crying now. I said long ago not to rush into 8.7.
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