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#特朗普撤销农产品关税 Speaking of Bitcoin's four-year cycle, those in the circle understand — the Halving market has been as punctual as an alarm clock. In the early years, the market was simple; once BTC supply tightened, emotions were immediately ignited, and funds poured in rapidly. However, now that the market has grown larger, this trap occasionally stutters, but the underlying logic of the cycle? It's still turning.
From a technical perspective, the BTC weekly chart hasn't given that kind of "it's stable" signal yet. However, at the 90,000 position, the chips are piled up thick enough, and the dense trading area below can hold. Although it hasn't completely stabilized, there isn't much room left for a further drop.
This cycle is different from previous ones. It is no longer a solitary Halving; it feels more like being led by the rhythm of the macro environment's tightening and loosening. The transition between bull and bear markets has always been understood only in hindsight – are we currently in a transitional phase of a bull tail and bear head, or have we already stepped into the bear market threshold? Only time will tell.
If the bull market really ends like this, friends who are heavily invested in altcoins probably have already suffered huge losses. But I believe altcoins will bounce back for a while: for example, when BTC rebounds from 90,000 to around 100,000, it is likely to drive altcoins into a short-term market rally, which may last around two weeks. Recently, the market has shown signs of this — coins like LTC have started to hold up against declines, and the UNI project team has begun to take action, while established altcoins like $FIL also show signs of capital inflow. If you are stuck with junk coins, there is no need to panic and cut your losses at this position. Even the worst coins will bounce back after dropping significantly; as long as Bitcoin remains stable, it is highly likely that they will follow the trend later, and you can minimize your losses by exiting at that time.
Even if the bear market truly arrives, there is no need to be afraid. I have my own regrets during this bull market, but these experiences are the ammunition for the next bull market. The bear market is the golden period for bottom fishing—gradually building positions in those reliable assets and quietly waiting for the next cycle to take off.
Bull and bear cycles are just the norm. As long as you are still in this circle, holding on to logic and patiently waiting, the day of turning things around will come. $ETH $BTC Let's hold on together!