#山寨币行情复苏 The latest market sentiment has shown a subtle shift. Polymarket data reveals that traders' bets on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December have climbed to 52%, surpassing the previously dominant "hold steady" PI (now only 46%). The CME's Fed Watch tool corroborates this trend— the probability of a rate cut jumped from 42.4% the previous day to 48.9%, indicating a clear loosening of market expectations.

It is worth noting that the U.S. Department of Labor has revealed that it will release the backlog of weekly unemployment claims data caused by the government shutdown this Thursday. This delayed data could bring new variables to the market, as employment data has always been a key reference point for Fed decisions.

$BTC At this time point, it is quite delicate—interest rate cut expectations are rising, but the certainty is still not strong enough. The crypto market is highly sensitive to traditional financial policies, and the data releases in the coming days may become a catalyst for short-term trends.