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Looking at the four-hour level, Ethereum rebounded after touching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands last night, but started to turn back down as it rose near the 10-day moving average, and there are signs of approaching the lower band again. The expansion of the bandwidth is evident, with the short-term resistance positioned around 2986.
Looking at the hourly chart again, the three lines of the Bollinger Bands are arranged in a parallel descending pattern, which is a typical weak trend. The short-term moving averages have turned down, and the price is currently caught between the middle band and the lower band. If the subsequent rebound cannot firmly stabilize above the middle band, further downward movement in the market becomes a high probability event, with the first support targeting 2910.
The MACD level reveals signals of bearish strength. On the four-hour chart, the double lines have already crossed downwards, and the zero axis is about to be breached, with bearish momentum accumulating. On the hourly chart, the double lines are close to merging below the zero axis, indicating a significant decline in bullish energy.
From the perspective of the RSI indicator, it is currently in the overbought area, fluctuating between 83 and 89, which further confirms that the short-term upward trend is under pressure. Overall assessment shows that the market is indeed showing a weak oscillating situation.
**Resistance Level Layout**: 3020, 3160, 3270
**Support Level Layout**: 2810, 2717, 2620
**High-altitude strategy**: Establish a light short position around 3020 as a position, gradually add shorts at 3160, and if it breaks above 3270, exit with a stop loss.
**Long Position Strategy**: You can try to establish a long position near 2810, gradually increase your position around 2720, and cut losses decisively if it falls below 2620.