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The four-year cycle is a thing of the past. Missing the bottom at $80,600 on November 21 means there's really no chance to catch it again.
Bitcoin has long ceased to be a risky speculative asset. Just look at how institutions play it — they treat it as digital gold, buy and hold for the long term, and don't engage in short-term trading. The allocation logic is very clear: strategic asset, long-term store of value.
Coupled with the Federal Reserve's pace and the rotation of the macroeconomic cycle, Bitcoin has now become an important pillar in the global financial system. This role transformation, how could it collapse overnight? The underlying logic has already changed.