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 have attracted retail participation, O’Leary dismisses their market impact as negligible in the context of institutional portfolio allocation.
The data supports this view. Analysis from Charles Schwab indicates that approximately 80% of the crypto market’s estimated $3.2 trillion in total value concentrates in foundational blockchains like bitcoin and ethereum. From a volatility perspective, O’Leary notes that owning positions in just these two cryptocurrencies captures 97.2% of the entire crypto market’s volatility since inception. Thousands of other projects compete for investment attention and capital, yet they remain structurally disadvantaged.
For underperforming altcoins launched during earlier bull markets, the outlook appears bleak. Many tokens remain depressed 60% to 90% below their previous highs, with little prospect for recovery. O’Leary’s assessment is blunt: most smaller tokens “are never coming back.” The dominance of bitcoin and ethereum reflects not market sentiment but fundamental economic concentration in the industry.
Regulation: The Missing Catalyst for Broader Institutional Adoption
If institutional capital currently limits itself to bitcoin and ethereum, what could potentially expand that universe? O’Leary identifies one critical factor: U.S. regulatory clarity, particularly regarding stablecoin functionality.
The U.S. Senate is actively developing a crypto market structure bill that has captured O’Leary’s close attention. However, current draft language includes provisions banning yield on stablecoin accounts—restrictions O’Leary views as creating an unfair competitive advantage for traditional banking. This regulatory hurdle recently prompted Coinbase to withdraw support for the legislation. As O’Leary frames it: “That is an unlevel playing field.”
Stablecoin issuers like Circle and their exchange partners, including Coinbase, recognize the substantial revenue potential from yield-generating products. Coinbase alone generated $355 million in revenue from stablecoin yield offerings during the third quarter of 2025, illustrating the market’s appetite for these services. Permitting these products through regulatory reform could unlock significant institutional capital flows into crypto-related investments.
O’Leary remains optimistic that the bill will be refined to address these concerns. When regulatory clarity arrives—particularly regarding stablecoin yield and other outstanding provisions—he predicts the result will be a substantial reallocation of institutional assets into bitcoin and crypto infrastructure more broadly. Until that catalyst emerges, however, the infrastructure thesis remains O’Leary’s primary conviction: physical assets, power rights, and land will drive value creation in the digital asset economy.