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 session on Reddit featuring the company’s CEO Andy Marsh. This engagement with the retail investor community provided a platform to discuss growth strategies and the firm’s plans to raise capital through equity offerings. The interactive format has attracted investor attention, with some speculators betting on meme-stock dynamics gaining traction.
Despite today’s rally, the longer-term picture remains challenging. The stock price has declined substantially over the past three years, losing roughly 84% of its value. This historical context underscores that recent gains may represent temporary momentum rather than a fundamental shift in the company’s trajectory.
The Financial Reality Behind the Rally
Looking at the company’s operational performance reveals significant headwinds. In the third quarter of last year, the hydrogen specialist generated $177 million in revenue, representing minimal year-over-year growth of just 1.7%. More concerning is the operational bottom line: the company reported a net loss of $361 million during the same period.
These financial metrics paint a picture of a business struggling to achieve profitability despite its market position. The stagnant revenue growth combined with substantial losses suggests the company cannot fund operations through conventional means—hence the aggressive capital-raising initiatives.
Understanding the Planned Share Dilution
The company plans to hold a shareholders meeting to seek approval for charter amendments that would enable expanded equity issuance. Specifically, management is requesting authorization to double the share count from 1.5 billion to 3 billion shares. This capital raise would allow the firm to fund operations without accumulating debt.
However, such an expansion carries significant consequences for existing shareholders. Doubling the share count represents tremendous dilution—the ownership stake of current investors would be cut substantially. Even if the company successfully raises capital, current shareholders face meaningful value erosion.
Investment Assessment: Weighing the Evidence
From an investment standpoint, the combination of ongoing losses, minimal revenue growth, and impending share dilution creates a difficult risk-reward profile. While the recent AMA and Reddit engagement may have captured short-term attention, these communications cannot offset the underlying business challenges.
The company must achieve profitability and demonstrate accelerating revenue growth to justify further investor commitment. Until operational improvements materialize, the stock appears to carry substantial downside risks that outweigh potential near-term momentum gains. Given these factors, cautious investors should carefully evaluate whether current valuations adequately compensate for the risks inherent in this situation.