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Michael Burry warns: when the visionary investor returns to the microphone, the market freezes
Legendary investor Michael Burry, known for his infallible intuition before the 2008 crisis, has broken a long silence. This time, his message is extremely concise but carries a serious warning: “Sometimes we see bubbles. Sometimes you need to do something about it. Sometimes the only way out is not to play.” These few phrases cut through the noise and spark a wave of speculation about a new crash, comparable to the Great Dotcom Depression of the 2000s.
The background for such a warning is more than alarming. Nvidia’s market capitalization, the leading manufacturer of AI chips, has reached historic highs, and the entire artificial intelligence sector is growing exponentially. At the same time, traditional valuation metrics—P/E ratios and price-to-sales ratios—are reaching levels that typically precede corrections.
Portfolio signals: how the investor reacted to the risks
Burry’s fund, known for its contrarian strategy, has long revealed its cards. The portfolio was almost completely sold off, and instead of long positions, strong short bets were placed on Nvidia and Chinese stocks. Such a radical shift is not just tactical maneuvering but an acknowledgment that the risk of overvaluation has become critical.
This action speaks louder than words. When an experienced investor shifts from neutrality to a clearly bearish stance, it’s always a sign. In recent weeks, many portfolio managers have begun reevaluating their positions, especially in high-tech stocks.
AI sector and Nvidia: signs of overheating in the market
The current situation around Nvidia and the AI sector as a whole shows classic bubble symptoms. The combined market capitalization of companies working with artificial intelligence far exceeds their actual profits. Prices are rising not based on fundamentals but on waves of speculative enthusiasm.
In the cryptocurrency markets, the situation is reflected in the movement of key tokens: ETH is trading at around $2.16K with a minimal increase of 0.25% over the day, BNB has fallen 4.02% to $715.50, XRP decreased by 0.77% to $1.54. These fluctuations reflect market caution regarding the risks of overvaluation in the tech sector.
Historical lessons: how markets repeat old mistakes
Economist John Maynard Keynes once noted: “The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” This truth remains relevant decades later. History shows an inexorable pattern: every bubble bursts, but only after the vast majority of participants are convinced that “this time, everything will be different.”
The 2000s with the dotcom crash, 2008 with the financial crisis, 2017 with the ICO collapse—each time, the scenario repeated itself with almost perfect precision. Michael Burry saw these signals then, and he sees them now.
The question currently on investors’ minds at all levels is: are we on the verge of a correction or just entering the final phase of euphoria? The answer, as always, will come with time. But one thing is clear: when professionals start betting against the market, there are strong reasons for it.