The easing of the US-Iran conflict has led to a rebound in risk appetite. The allocation value of three main-line ETFs is receiving close attention.

Ask AI · How will U.S.-Iran de-escalation affect the trajectory of global risk assets?

  1. Reports say that on the 7th, U.S. President Trump posted on a social media platform stating: “Agreed to pause bombing and strike operations against Iran for two weeks.” Subsequently, the Iranian side also issued a similar statement. In the short term, the probability of the war escalating further decreases; global risk assets rebound, and AH shares are expected to follow higher.

  2. Institutions believe that from a trading perspective, the window in which historical geopolitical conflicts begin to ease—especially when there is a potential for a rebound with greater upside—mainly focuses on three categories:

First, assets with relatively lower mid-term valuation positioning, ample room for upside, and that directly benefit on the valuation side after liquidity expectations improve; at present, examples include the Hang Seng Tech ETF by Huatai-PB (513010) and the Innovation Drug ETF by Huatai-PB (516080);

Second, directions that were previously suppressed by risk appetite and saw relatively larger sell-off; at present, examples in A-shares include small-cap, high-volatility products, such as the STAR Market 200 ETF by Huatai-PB (588270) and the CSI 1000 ETF by Huatai-PB (159633);

Third, A-share trading performance during the April earnings season. If a new round of rebound is triggered, then in the medium-term, institutional investors are expected to regroup around growth sectors with fundamentals that continue to see upward revisions of earnings, such as the ChiNext ETF by Huatai-PB (159915), the STAR Market 50 ETF by Huatai-PB (588080), and the Semiconductor Equipment ETF by Huatai-PB (159558).

  1. For allocation-oriented investors, with the Shanghai Composite Index still below 3900 points, and A-shares’ 2026 wind-consensus forecast earnings growth rate remaining in the high-growth range above double digits, increasing exposure to the A500 ETF by Huatai-PB (159361) to raise their position is also an important tool to respond to upside risks in the market.
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