BlackAndWhite123

$DOGE the cryptocurrency that cost me the most money
These past few days, it bottomed out and rebounded, and once again it’s back in the mainstream. The last surge was mainly because of Musk—also, the government efficiency department, abbreviated as D.O.G.E—yet even Dogecoin couldn’t manage to break to new highs. This time there’s no real positive catalyst or material good news at all; it’s only being propped up by leveraged capital and FOMO sentiment.
Overseas, Dogecoin is inflationary.
Back in the 2021 bull market, its market cap was only a little over 120 billion. Now it’s close to 1

The rebound is over, and the bearish outlook continues. The support around 74,000 may not hold for long. In the end, you’ll likely need to look to the support near 70k. Bulls, be mindful of the risk of further downside.

It is said that many US stock market making teams have entered the crypto space this year. In the past, market-making for altcoins in the crypto world was basically just a quick pump and dump. Now, because these institutional teams have entered, this year we have already seen coins that have increased by dozens or even hundreds of times. Such opportunities will definitely continue to appear in the future.
Coins like these can all be collectively called "monster coins." The early stage of dealing with monster coins is to learn how to identify "abnormalities."
For example, unusually high con

The current market situation, it doesn't fall properly when it drops, and it doesn't rise properly when it goes up, just going back and forth deceiving.

Fu Peng’s famous remarks in 2023 and 2024:
The RMB will inevitably depreciate against the US dollar, breaking 8, possibly reaching 9.
A group of members heavily re-bet on the US dollar/RMB exchange rate—and that’s how it ended.
Gold will inevitably crash, and the global economy will keep rising steadily—except for China.
A group of members went all-in to short gold—and that’s how it ended.
China’s manufacturing industry is bound to relocate to Vietnam, and Vietnam’s manufacturing industry will rise in the future.
A group of members moved their factories one after another, went bank

The fundamental of investing has never been guessing ups and downs, gambling on emotions, or looking at short-term market trends, but rather being a long-term partner in the business.
Focus all your energy on the business model, corporate culture, moat, and profitability; if you can roughly estimate the free cash flow over the next ten years, you've already completed the most core part of investing.
Short-term market fluctuations are driven by emotions, capital, and speculation, with no规律, and are completely unpredictable.
Fools waste time on them, only causing internal conflict and chas

There is a counterintuitive principle: when you're making money, be frugal, cautious with spending, and avoid overspending;
and when you're losing money, don't be stingy with consumption and personal expenses, or you'll lose the motivation to earn.
Greed is a good thing, but within the market, you should also cut your positions and not double down;
Martingale strategies are not advisable.

No matter what the market conditions are, there are always people who can make money.
If you compare yourself to others, you'll only fall into anxiety.
Personally, I think this kind of internal struggle is actually completely unnecessary.
It's better to relax and enjoy the weekend.

The only way for small funds to grow big:
1. Control drawdowns
2. Compound interest
3. Increase large positions and appropriately roll over at key points
For small funds, there is no second path in trading.

$BTC It's a bit strong at the moment. It feels like there's a chance to reach around 80,000–83,000. The bears should stay on the sidelines for now; this is the time for the bulls!

Investing is an extremely cautious matter; 90% of stocks in the market are simply not worth touching, and if you do, you'll lose money.
You must tread carefully, carefully selecting from the remaining 10% of stocks that are undervalued, have growth potential, no significant risks, flawless balance sheets, stable cash flow, suitable for long-term holding, and positioned advantageously in the market...
Therefore, true investors are all extremely calm, rational, and have a clear understanding of this world.

Finally, the fake hype has arrived. I thought at least this month would be a simple money-making mode, but because of the plunge of $Rave, it's over. I really can't understand why people still report coins that have surged a hundred times. If there's an investigation, wait until he's done harvesting before reporting or investigating. Do they really think Web3 enthusiasts are fools?

Rave trading method,
First control over 97% of the spot chips,
Then keep pushing the price higher, creating hype,
Because everyone knows this kind of altcoin is air, it will definitely go to zero in the future,
So everyone contracts to short, opposing the market maker,
The higher the market maker pushes, the more leeks will come in to short and oppose,
Thus the market maker keeps pushing the price up by 100 times,
Plus the market maker can continuously collect funding fees by going long,
Charging you up to 2% of your principal per hour,
And up to 48% of your principal in a da

The overall market daily chart has been consolidating sideways for two months. Although the main trend remains bearish, this wave is likely to first exhaust the short positions before continuing downward, probably reaching 76k-79k.
Additionally, the altcoin market has been quite strong recently. Since $Siren took the lead, major teams have also started to get involved, such as the recent $STO ethereum:0x17205fab260a7a6383a81452ce6315a39370db97. The updates haven't been very frequent lately, mainly because everyone is taking advantage of the good market to research and make money with friend

Recently, I kept seeing messages about 100k and 80k again and again. Every time I see this, I know it's time for the market to pull back. I've long been reminding everyone that the bears shouldn't panic at all; in a bear market, all rebounds will eventually be fully retraced.
This round of US-Iran negotiations didn't reach an agreement, so a reckless short position on the rebound is all that's needed. Anyway, Trump and Iran won't let the war end so quickly; after all, it's all about making money.

All the air force members, don't panic. Currently, the market environment is very difficult to sustain a continuous upward trend. Although the daily chart has rebounded for more than ten days, the rebound momentum is nearing exhaustion, and it is highly likely to revert to a downward trend later on.
Moreover, from mid-April to mid-May, the market is facing significant resistance.
Based on multiple assessments, BTC's support levels are gradually shifting downward, and it will likely dip to around 54,000.

About guesses at the bottom
Always based on historical cycle patterns and technical indicators
May not be right
When most people are watching for a dip-buy around 40,000 to 50,000
Either the “dog whales” don’t give it
Or they directly smash through it
So
All we can do is wait for time to give the answer

Summary of President Trump's nationwide speech:
1. The Iran war will continue for "two to three weeks."
2. If no agreement is reached, the U.S. will strike Iran's power plants.
3. The core strategic goal in Iran is "close to completion."
4. The U.S. will "bring Iran back to the Stone Age."
5. The U.S. will no longer import stones from the Strait of Hormuz in the future.
6. The Iranian Navy has disappeared, and its Air Force has become a ruin.
After the speech, U.S. oil prices soared above $103 per barrel.

BTC's Monday rebound has become a common tactic among the big players.
Still the same advice:
A rebound does not mean a reversal.
For intraday trading, you can continue to watch.
In the early hours, consider shorting at high levels below the resistance zone.