Bitcoin is hovering near the 0.382 Fibonacci key support level, with the market watching to see whether it can hold this bullish defense line. Analyst Daan Crypto Trades has warned that if this level is breached, Bitcoin could fall back to the $76,000 region from April and potentially damage the high time frame bullish structure.
Last weekend, Bitcoin briefly dropped below $88,000 during a round of leveraged liquidations, then rebounded to $91,500. Analyst Bull Theory described this move as a typical "low-liquidity weekend liquidation," viewing it as a maneuver to squeeze leveraged positions in both directions by taking advantage of weak market structure.
Next, the market is awaiting the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, with a widely expected 0.25% rate cut. However, since the first rate cut in October, crypto market sentiment has actually cooled, mainly because Powell has emphasized that decisions will be data-driven, making it difficult for the market to simply bet on a long-term easing cycle. Markus Thielen of 10x Research pointed out that weaker ETF inflows in December and declining trading volumes have limited Bitcoin's short-term breakout potential, while narrowing volatility has also increased downside risk.