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MON Token Price Prediction: Big Pump Potential or Drop to Zero Risk? Gate Latest Market Depth Analysis

As of December 2, Monad (MON) is priced at $0.0295 on the Gate exchange, showing a strong short-term momentum with an 18% rise against the trend in the past 24 hours. The token has a circulating market capitalization of approximately $323 million, ranking 108th in the global crypto assets market.

01 Current market status and recent performance

MON, as the native Token of Monad, a high-performance EVM-compatible Layer 1 blockchain, has been in the spotlight since its launch. Its price trend is full of drama.

In the early stages of its launch, MON once surged to 0.048 USD, but then experienced a deep correction, falling more than 40% from its peak. This extreme volatility is a typical characteristic of newly listed Layer 1 Tokens, reflecting the intense battle between early speculative enthusiasm and subsequent profit-taking pressure.

According to Gate's market data, MON has recently shown signs of stabilizing and rebounding. It has accumulated a rise of 16% in the past 7 days, while an 18% increase within 24 hours further indicates that buying power has started to become active in specific price ranges (such as around $0.026).

From a technical indicator perspective, its Bollinger Bands show that the price is rising from the lower band, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also returned to the midpoint of 50, indicating that the market's selling momentum is no longer in absolute dominance.

02 Long and Short Game: Huge Divergence in Market Opinions

Regarding the future of MON, market opinions are polarized, forming a distinct “pump faction” and “zero faction.”

The bullish perspective holds that now is a strategic buying opportunity.

Supporters believe that the recent price correction of MON (such as the 15% drop in a single day) is not a warning, but rather provides a strategic entry window for long-term investors. Their core argument is based on its Token economics design.

At the time of the listing, only about 10.8% of the total Token supply was in circulation, while over 50% of the Tokens (belonging to the team, investors, and ecosystem) were strictly locked until after 2029.

This design greatly limits the early circulating supply, aiming to avoid persistent selling pressure caused by large-scale unlocks.

In addition, MON was listed on top exchanges including Coinbase, Gate, and Kraken on its first day of launch, gaining strong liquidity support. Its network processed over 3.7 million on-chain transactions within 24 hours, demonstrating preliminary practical value beyond mere speculation.

Bearish signals warning: Lack of use cases and high valuation risks

Representatives of the bears, such as well-known trader Arthur Hayes, have issued a stern warning. He believes that MON is yet another “overvalued but lacking sufficient practical use to support its price” Layer 1 project.

Hayes pointed out that many new public chains follow the same cycle of “release - hype - pump - fade - drop” and compared MON to another project that had fallen 94% from its peak.

His core concern is that the early growth momentum of MON primarily stems from the market's fear of missing out on the “next Ethereum,” rather than being built on clear user demand or active ecological applications.

The continuous selling by airdrop recipients, the overall correction in the crypto market, and the prospect of a total supply of up to 100 billion coins are seen as the main factors suppressing prices in the short term.

The table below outlines the main bullish and bearish arguments in the current market:

Dimension Bullish View ( Optimistic View ) Bearish View ( Cautious/Pessimistic View )
Token Economy Long-term lock-up (until 2029) creates scarcity and reduces selling pressure Huge total supply (100 billion) and future unlocks are a long-term sword of Damocles
Technology/Ecology EVM compatibility attracts developers, high-performance chains have actual demand Currently lacking killer applications and clear differentiated use cases
Market Sentiment After a deep correction, the bottom is being built, and liquidity is abundant, presenting a buying opportunity Following the new L1 “pump-bump” cycle, speculative bubbles are evident
Risk Level Medium to High Risk, with Long-term Growth Narrative Extremely High Risk, with a Significant Possibility of Total Loss

03 Future Price Prediction: From Short-term Fluctuations to Long-term Vision

Based on technical analysis, token economic models, and ecological development expectations, multiple analytical institutions have provided price forecasts for MON at different time dimensions.

Short-term (1-3 months ): Airdrop selling pressure and finding balance

In the short term, the market expects MON to continue to digest the selling pressure brought by the early airdrop, and the price may maintain a wide fluctuation. The key support level is around 0.026 dollars, while the upper side faces strong resistance in the range of 0.038 to 0.045 dollars.

If the overall market sentiment weakens, the possibility of retesting the range of $0.015 to $0.020 cannot be ruled out.

Mid-term (2025-2026: A critical validation period for ecological development

Entering 2025, as more ecological projects are launched and development activities increase after the mainnet goes live, the price of MON will more directly reflect the actual adoption of its network.

If Monad can successfully attract developers and users, gradually establishing application scenarios such as DeFi and payments, demand is expected to start offsetting the increase in circulating supply. Predictions indicate that the average price in 2025 may be around $0.06, with a range of $0.03 to $0.12.

Long-term )2027-2030: Whether the vision is realized or not

The long-term valuation completely depends on whether Monad can grow into a competitive mainstream public chain. If it secures a place in the high-performance EVM chain track and forms a prosperous ecosystem, the price will have immense potential.

The following is a long-term outlook based on a comprehensive range of predictions:

Predicted Year Average Annual Price Prediction ( USD ) Potential Price Range ( USD )
2025 0.06 0.03 - 0.12
2026 0.10 0.05 - 0.18
2027 0.14 0.08 - 0.25
2028 0.20 0.12 - 0.32
2029 0.28 0.16 - 0.40
2030 0.36 0.22 - 0.55

It is important to emphasize that these long-term predictions have a high degree of uncertainty, and the final outcome will strictly depend on project execution, technological implementation, and the macro environment of the entire Crypto Assets market.

( 04 Summary

MON Token is at a crossroads filled with uncertainty and immense potential. It has a well-designed token economic model (long-term lock-up) and strong technical backing (high-performance EVM), which lays a solid foundation for its long-term development.

However, it also faces the soul-searching question that all new blockchain projects must answer: Can a real, active, and sticky ecosystem be built to create sustained Token demand?

For investors, MON is a typical high-risk, high-potential return asset. Its future price trajectory will be influenced by the overall sentiment of the crypto market and airdrop selling pressure in the short term; in the medium to long term, it will be completely tied to the growth story of the Monad network itself.

As a Gate Plaza user put it: “Living longer is more important than making money.” When investing in cutting-edge projects like MON, deeply understanding their fundamentals and managing risk is far more crucial than chasing short-term price fluctuations.

MON-2.58%
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This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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