### Crypto market December 3, 2025: Brief analysis of yesterday's forecast

**Fact on the morning of December 3 (UTC):**
- BTC: $91 406 (+6.5% per сутки)
- ETH: $2 998 (+7.8 %)
- Capitalization: $3.09 trillion (+5.6 %)
- SOL +8.9 %, XRP +6.3 %

### What turned out to be true / what did not ( forecast from December 2 )

| Forecast December 2 | Result December 3 | Total |
|------------------------------------|-----------------------------|----------|
| BTC bounce to $90–92k in 7–10 days | +6.5% in 24 hours → already $91.4k | ✓ Faster |
| ETH test $2500–2600 | There was none, immediate growth | ✗ |
| Capitalization < $2 trln | Remaining > $3 trln | ✗ |
| Altcoins +20–40 % after BTC | For now +6–9 %, but it has started | Partially |
| BTC will close the year at $98–105k | The track remains in effect | In process |

**Main conclusion:** The Yen shock turned out to be a one-time event, ETF inflows and oversold RSI triggered a sharp V-rebound. The correction ended within 24 hours instead of a week.

### Updated forecasts for today and the upcoming week

1. BTC today: will close > $92 500 (probability 78 %)
2. ETH today: > $3 100 ( probability 72 %)
3. Capitalization by December 7: $3.25–3.3 trillion (probability 82 %)
4. SOL and XRP this week: +18–25 % (ETF-hype)
5. BTC on December 31, 2025: $108 000 – $115 000 (probability 62 %)

Current trend: strong bullish momentum, risk of retest $88k only upon confirmation of the BoJ rate hike on December 19. For now — we buy the dips.