#美联储降息 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Comprehensive Multi-Currency Position Analysis — How to Make Your Move During the Key Bottoming Phase?

In the past 24 hours, the market has staged a dramatic scene: the Federal Reserve's rate cut just announced, unexpectedly becoming the fuse for a sell-off. BTC followed the decline, and ETH, despite its upgrade, couldn't maintain its upward momentum. But this is precisely the moment for patient traders to turn things around — volatility hides opportunities, so let's get straight to the main points.

🔥 ETH: After the upgrade effect fades, what signals does the technical analysis reveal?

· Current price around $3,097 (down 4.7% in the past 24 hours)
· Latest development: Fusaka upgrade has activated the deflation engine (EIP-7918 enhanced the burn rate), pushing the price briefly to $3,200, but then it lost momentum. This is a classic case of "good news being followed by bad news."
· Technical perspective: 1-hour MACD just formed a golden cross, indicating a potential rebound; but RSI is only 35.9, and volume and price are still being suppressed by moving averages — short-term reversal probability is low.
· Key levels to watch:
Support at $3,000, breaking below which targets $2,850
Resistance in the $3,240–$3,300 range
· Capital flow: ETF saw a net outflow of $19.4 million yesterday, indicating that large funds are still on the sidelines, with no clear signs of accumulation.

🚀 BTC: The rate cut didn't trigger the expected "rocket," but instead, there are underlying currents?

· Current price around $90,361 (down 2.26% in 24 hours)
· What's happening in the market: This is the early stage of a "sell the news" pattern. The rate cut expectations have long been priced in, so the actual policy implementation has become an excuse for reducing positions.
· Technical signals: The hourly chart shows bearish signals, but on the 4-hour timeframe, bearish momentum is weakening — a rebound brewing.
· Critical levels to hold:
$88,500 is the critical support; holding it means room to rally to $93K–$94K
If broken, the next support is at $85,000
· Institutional moves: Spot ETFs still net inflow of $286.6 million this week, and traditional financial institutions (like Itaú Bank) are beginning to recommend allocating 1-3% exposure — implying that institutions are secretly accumulating.

🎯 Practical Tips

· ETH trading strategy: Try to go long near $3,000, remember to set stop-loss orders; the deflation logic remains intact in the long term, so consider scaling in to lower the average cost.
· BTC approach: Look for a rebound around the $88,500 support zone, but always control risk exposure; ongoing institutional inflows suggest that extreme downside is limited.
· Mindset building: The fear index is at 26, which is actually the smart money's time to position. Hold your spot, stay calm, avoid leverage, and wait for market sentiment to recover.

In a bull market, declines are always repetitive, but the key is whether you can hold your chips and stay patient — opportunities often emerge during the most anxious moments.

⚠️ Risk Warning: Market volatility is high. The above content is for analytical reference only. All trading decisions should be based on your own research and risk tolerance.