#数字资产市场洞察 $ZEC $SOL $DOGE

⚡ Key data just released: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in January plummeted from 28.8% to 13.3%, leaving the market stunned.

What is the logic behind this? To put it bluntly, the prospect of monetary easing is far away, and the hurdle of high interest rates cannot be bypassed in the short term. Funds are tight, and volatility is increasing—this is a scenario being played out both on-chain and off-chain.

What’s even more heartbreaking is a statement from former White House economic adviser Hassett: "The Federal Reserve should have cut interest rates long ago." It sounds like a cry of injustice, but essentially it’s a warning bell—central bank decision-making is lagging behind, dragging down economic growth and capital flows. If this pace continues, both investments and innovative projects may be suffocated by high interest rates.

The market is now caught in this paradox: on one hand, the Federal Reserve is holding steady and maintaining its tightening policy, while on the other hand, economists are frantically warning that "there won't be another opportunity if we wait too long." Crypto assets and growth-oriented targets are at the forefront, with liquidity expectations cooling directly, making short-term pressure inevitable.

But on the flip side—if the Federal Reserve is indeed "behind the curve," how fierce will the policy shift be when a certain tipping point arrives? It seems calm now, but a storm is brewing in the eye.

The next key points to watch are: whether economic data weakens rapidly (forcing the Fed to take action), and whether market fear indicators reach critical levels.

How long can the high-interest rate stalemate last? No one can say for sure. But one thing is certain—when the market consensus completely collapses, that is when volatility will amplify.