#比特币流动性 $BTC 12.15 Market Trend Analysis

Today’s market is oscillating within that range-bound zone, with short positions at high levels and long positions at low levels. This logic still holds—once the level is broken, stop-loss must be executed, with no exceptions. The longer the sideways consolidation lasts, the greater the potential for subsequent upward movement; conversely, the same applies to downward movement.

On the larger cycle, the bearish trend is already very clear, but there is a detail to watch out for: after a monthly death cross, a rebound usually occurs, which can deceive traders badly. Looking back at the market in the first two months of 2022 makes this clear—at that time, there was also a monthly death cross pattern, followed by a seemingly decent rebound, but it ultimately continued to decline. History repeats itself, so stay calm.