#美联储降息预期 The Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and restarting QE sounds like a big positive, but it's still too early to say the bull market is restarting. 🤔 The period before Christmas Eve is naturally a liquidity desert, with options data stacking up at 50% positions, BTC stuck at the 100,000 integer level, ETH pressed at 3,200... Clearly, the main forces are in the phase of accumulation.

But the good news is that BTC has already rebounded from 80,000, and the 200-day moving average has turned positive, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum has indeed recovered. The current situation is: the highest probability is a slow decline, but we also need to watch out for sudden positive news reversing the trend. 🚀

The most critical resistance is the 52-week high; only a breakout can truly open up upward space. Right now, it's a game of chess—don't expect a big move before the end of the year, but don't sit on the sidelines in full cash either. A small position following the trend might bring some surprises. 💰