This week marks two decades of systematic geopolitical risk forecasting. What started as an annual review of major global threats has become a critical lens for understanding market volatility and asset allocation strategies.

The pattern is clear: geopolitical uncertainty consistently ripples through financial markets. From trade tensions to regional conflicts, these forces shape capital flows and reshape investment portfolios overnight.

2026 isn't shaping up like your average year. The convergence of multiple risk factors—from trade policy shifts to international tensions—suggests market participants should be paying closer attention to what unfolds in the coming months. For crypto investors, understanding these macro headwinds is just as crucial as tracking on-chain metrics.

The question isn't whether geopolitical risks matter. History proves they do. The real question is how prepared you are for what's coming.