Why Does the Market Rarely React to CZ's Tweet?

Recently, every time CZ (Changpeng Zhao) tweets, the crypto community shares it widely. But if you pay close attention, you’ll notice something quite strange: Prices Usually Do Not React Strongly. Meanwhile, just a positive statement from Trump, Elon Musk, or even a Fed official about crypto can cause the market to surge immediately. So the question is: where does the problem lie? It’s not in accuracy – but in market psychology. CZ Is Correct, But The Market Is Not “Surprised” No one denies CZ is one of the most influential figures in the crypto industry. What he says about: Long-term developmentBlockchain technologyThe future of crypto …mostly are correct in essence. But because of that, the market has become “accustomed.” CZ is a: Crypto insiderCrypto workerCrypto speaker almost dailyAnd almost always with a positive tone That optimism, over time, becomes the default. When a message is already expected, the market doesn’t need to reprice risk. In other words: CZ bullish is no longer news – it’s just “the normal state.” The Market Moves Not Because of Confidence, But Because of Surprise Prices do not rise because “someone believes in crypto.” Prices rise because something breaks the old expectations. That’s why: Trump speaks up → related to power, policy, geopoliticsElon Musk’s statements → related to capital flow, technology, media influenceFed officials mention crypto → directly related to interest rates and liquidity They are not industry insiders. They rarely talk about crypto. So every time they speak, the market perceives a new signal, not a familiar encouragement. 👉 And the market reacts to surprise, not repetition. Why Can Vitalik Make the Market Pay Attention? Vitalik is a special case. He: Usually talks about technicalsResearch, risks, limitsUpgrades, security, long-term philosophyRarely “hypes bullish” Therefore, when Vitalik shows optimism, it: Breaks the familiar image Sends a signal that “something truly noteworthy is happening” That unusual tone makes the market listen. Why Don’t I Trade Based on CZ’s Tweets? Not because CZ is wrong. But because the market does not reward continuous optimism. The market rewards: ChangeTimingAnd surprise factors Belief helps build a long-term story. But short-term prices only move when something causes the crowd to adjust expectations. 👉 Belief creates narrative. Surprise creates volatility. And that’s why, despite respecting CZ, I don’t use his tweets as trading signals.