Indian government bonds are hitting a ceiling on upside potential. Here's why: household capital is increasingly flowing toward equities instead of fixed-income instruments, and that's eating into bond demand. On top of that, fresh banking sector rules are reshaping how institutions allocate their portfolios—fewer treasury positions, less long-duration debt absorption. An ICICI Bank executive flagged this as a real structural headwind. The takeaway? Long-term debt securities are facing tighter conditions across the market. With retail investors rotating into stocks and institutional players recalibrating their strategies, the traditional bond rally narrative might need rewriting.
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SatoshiChallenger
· 01-09 03:05
Ironically, every time they talk about a "structural shift," three years ago they said the same thing about Indian bonds [smirk]
Data shows: when retail investors chase stocks, institutions are often taking the chips... Will this time be different?
Interestingly, ICICI says there is pressure, but what does the central bank say? What's the full story?
It's not leverage, but anyone who watched the 2008 wave knows—"rebalancing" by institutions often means what
Wall Street reports are starting to say "the traditional narrative needs rewriting"... Every time they say this, they don't make any money
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LiquidatedThrice
· 01-08 02:33
India's bond ceiling has been reached. This wave of institutions offloading bonds to hold stocks, and retail investors following suit... The traditional bond story might no longer be sustainable.
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ImpermanentPhobia
· 01-07 17:37
It's the same logic again... Retail investors chase the hot spots and move into stocks, institutions follow and adjust their portfolios, and bonds are sidelined. The structural issues here in India are quite stubborn, and relying solely on the central bank's liquidity injections definitely won't be enough.
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TokenomicsPolice
· 01-06 03:40
Another structural shift, India's debt ceiling has arrived.
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VibesOverCharts
· 01-06 03:23
Everyone has gone to stock trading, how can bonds survive... India's structural changes this time are indeed fierce.
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FastLeaver
· 01-06 03:14
Is India's bond ceiling reached? This time it's real, retail investors are all rushing to stocks, and no one wants bonds. After the new banking regulations were announced, institutions also started offloading long-term bonds. ICICI said this is a structural issue... In plain terms, the good days of the bond market may be over.
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BlockchainBouncer
· 01-06 03:13
Retail investors have all gone to stock trading. Do bonds still want to take off? Dream on.
Indian government bonds are hitting a ceiling on upside potential. Here's why: household capital is increasingly flowing toward equities instead of fixed-income instruments, and that's eating into bond demand. On top of that, fresh banking sector rules are reshaping how institutions allocate their portfolios—fewer treasury positions, less long-duration debt absorption. An ICICI Bank executive flagged this as a real structural headwind. The takeaway? Long-term debt securities are facing tighter conditions across the market. With retail investors rotating into stocks and institutional players recalibrating their strategies, the traditional bond rally narrative might need rewriting.