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Policy developments to watch: The US government plans to introduce a tariff revenue distribution scheme, which is reportedly expected to distribute related funds to the public as early as mid-year.
The logic behind this is actually simple. The government intends to transfer tariff revenues directly to households, effectively injecting liquidity into the consumption side. In the short term, this can indeed stimulate people's purchasing power and consumption enthusiasm. But there is a hidden concern—if the supply side cannot keep up, the additional purchasing power might instead push prices higher. After all, ample liquidity combined with tight supply can bring inflationary pressures to the surface.
For investors, such policy signals are worth monitoring. Liquidity, inflation expectations, and government policy orientation are all important variables influencing asset allocation.