Have you ever thought about a question? The cycle has never been exactly four years, but around four years, and this "around" can vary by half a year before or after. Three and a half years is also acceptable.

I used to think that the cycle had changed or no longer existed, but that was very naive. The cycle will always be there. Even if it changes, it won't undergo a huge shift in a short period; it will only change gradually, just like Earth's rotation and revolution—changes that humans cannot perceive.
Last year, I firmly believed that 120,000+ was the top. Judging this doesn't require any extraordinary skills; the top of each bull market cycle has decreasing gains. Once you understand this, it's clear.
Therefore, the next Bitcoin bull market top will not exceed 200,000.