Risk aversion in the financial markets is activated but will not be amplified indefinitely

The biggest impact of Iran trade sanctions on the financial markets is to activate safe-haven logic rather than directly changing the economic growth trajectory. Gold, the US dollar, and US Treasuries often attract funds in the initial stage of news, but this safe-haven effect is not linearly amplified; it presents a phased pattern.

The reason is that the market has long been accustomed to the backdrop of Middle East instability. Unless sanctions trigger substantial military or energy shocks, safe-haven assets are more about "emotional boosts" rather than a trend-driven mainline. In other words, this is a risk appetite adjustment, not a comprehensive risk purge.

For traders, the most common mistake in this environment is chasing the rally in safe-haven assets after they have already risen. The truly rational approach is to complete positioning before emotions become extreme, gradually realize profits at the emotional peak, rather than expecting a single event to change the long-term structure. #伊朗贸易制裁