⚡️Fed Evening

🟡The rate remained unchanged at 3.75%.

🕵️‍♂️ We draw your attention to Powell's speech.

As always:
🟡Inflation remains elevated relative to the target level.
🟡The economy is strong.
🟡The level of uncertainty remains high.

Other points:
🟡Headline core inflation likely rose to 3% in December.
🟡No rate decisions have been made at future meetings yet.
🟡The country is entering 2026 in good economic shape.
🟡The Fed makes interest rate decisions separately at each meeting.
🟡The effect of a possible shutdown should be mitigated this quarter.
🟡Powell will continue to act independently and in the interests of the American economy.
🟡The Fed is not commenting on the dollar exchange rate.
🟡December forecasts show that most Fed chairs expect further economic normalization.
🟡Tariffs are the main contributor to current inflation.
🟡The effect of tariffs on goods is expected to peak and then begin to decline this year. If this happens, it will mean policy can be eased.
🟡A rate hike is not the baseline scenario for the next step.
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