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IMF raises economic growth forecast for 2026 thanks to wave of AI investments
The International Monetary Fund has revised its global economic development forecasts upward. According to data received in early 2026, the organization increased its expectations for next year’s economic growth from 3.1% to 3.3%, demonstrating confidence in the recovery of economic activity despite existing challenges.
Why the IMF Revised Its Economic Growth Forecast
IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas emphasized that despite the headaches caused by protectionist trade policies of the US and macroeconomic uncertainties, the global economy shows a remarkable ability to adapt and develop. The upward revision of the growth forecast reflects this growing resilience. According to the IMF, the economy will continue to demonstrate resilience thanks to diversification of growth sources.
Artificial Intelligence as the Main Driver of Economic Growth
A key factor in the forecast revision has been unprecedented investments in the artificial intelligence sector. North America and Asia lead in capital investments in AI technologies, creating new opportunities to accelerate productivity and form new economic sectors. The wave of AI investments has a positive impact on global economic growth, stimulating demand and laying the groundwork for long-term economic expansion.
Balancing Risks and Growth Potential
At the same time, the upward revision does not mean the risks have disappeared. Trade tensions and administrative barriers remain potential sources of instability. However, the IMF believes that the positive effects of implementing new technologies outweigh the existing threats, providing a foundation for stable economic growth in the medium term.