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Is everyone still most concerned about whether there will be a sharp drop tonight? Next week is also a non-farm week, and the intense demand is still there!
Let's talk about tonight's market! It's time to boast if you can, but currently, we're in a phase of shrinking volume and testing the bottom twice;
1. Based on current trading volume, there is no need to break new lows, but last night’s spike with increased volume and a needle insertion makes us worry about another spike tonight; how to respond?
The only options are to stay completely out of the market or to place a small initial position at a low level and add to it without risking liquidation. This is a position where you can definitely make money, but when will this wave bottom out? No one can give you a clear answer right now;
2. For those already trapped yesterday, don’t rush to add to your position. If your position is below 1%, it’s recommended to add only 0.5% during the bottom test with reduced volume. Don’t increase your position size. Monday, Wednesday, and Friday are big and small non-farm days, and next week will be another bloody storm; the market makers have already killed two waves this week, and they don’t mind killing a few more, so be cautious and keep your position small.
3. The bears are currently dominant, and the bulls should avoid their sharp edges. The bears are looking for high-level fake signals, and setting stop-losses on initial short positions is not a big problem.
Tonight’s view from骚哥: Although panic about a sharp drop is prevalent, I still see a chance for a rebound tonight. The breakdown might be delayed until tomorrow night before a clear result is seen.
Currently, the market’s expectations for big and small non-farm data are all bearish, which is not a good sign!
So, the potential for a rebound tonight does not mean you should go all-in on long positions. Also, don’t expect the rebound to be very high for now. This is just an opportunity for a second bottom test, possibly with small stop-loss positions trying to catch a short-term rally, which aligns with the current ultra-short-term signals!
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