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BTC
Bitcoin hits a new low for this phase. In this market, there's no need to guess the bottom; only wait for the structure to give signals.
Currently, a small rebound is occurring, but the strength is weak, so treat it as a technical retracement.
• Key resistance (4-hour): 77,500
• Only if the 4H candle closes above 77,500 and stabilizes will the market be considered to be entering a 4-hour rebound.
• Rebound target resistance levels:
• 79,500 → 82,000 → 84,000
• Risk points:
• Do not add positions blindly before 77,500 stabilizes;
• The rebound could be fake at any time, with a possibility of another sharp dip.
• Secondary support:
• 73,000
• If the secondary support holds, the rebound can continue;
• Stop-loss: below 73,000.
One sentence:
Until 77,500 is stabilized, any rebound is just a rebound, not a reversal.
⸻
ETH
The recent dip briefly touched the 2150–2100 range. The rebound has already taken some profit, but the current rebound momentum is moderate.
• Key resistance (4-hour): 2,330
• Only if the 4H candle closes above 2,330 will the rebound strength increase.
• Rebound target resistance levels:
• 2,400 → 2,480 → 2,530
• Downside risks:
• Do not fully add positions before 2,330 stabilizes;
• If the rebound fails, there is a possibility of a second dip.
• Secondary support:
• 2150–2100
• If the secondary support holds, the rebound can continue;
• Stop-loss: below 2100.
One sentence:
2,330 is the dividing line; only if it is broken and stabilized will there be a trend. If not, it’s just a bounce.
⸻
SOL
SOL broke below 102, and the trend is now completely damaged. It has recently returned to near the 95 support level.
• Current state:
• The small-scale rebound is weak, still a bearish structure.
• Rebound resistance:
• 102
• Only a breakthrough and stabilization will give the rebound strength.
• Rebound target levels:
• 107 → 115 → 117
• Risk scenario:
• If it falls below 95 again,
• The probability of a sharp dip is high, with attention to 90 / 80 below.
• Long position stop-loss:
• Near 95.
One sentence:
If it can't get above 102, don’t talk about a bullish trend; 95 is the last line of defense.
⸻
BNB
BNB dipped to 730 in the secondary dip yesterday, and the current rebound is also weak.
• Key resistance (4-hour): 767
• Only if the 4H candle closes above 767 will the rebound continue.
• Rebound target resistance levels:
• 790 → 810 → 830
• Risk points:
• Do not aggressively add positions before 767 stabilizes;
• A sharp dip could happen again at any time.
• Secondary support:
• 730–700
• If the secondary support holds, the market can still rebound;
• Stop-loss: below 700.
One sentence:
767 is the critical line for the rebound; 700 is the final line of defense.
⸻
Overall Strategy Reminder
• The current overall market remains extremely weak; a rebound does not mean a reversal;
• The only reliable standard is the 4-hour candle close;
• No confirmation, no heavy positions;
• Protect profits first, avoid impulsive actions without confirmation.
Only by staying alive can there be a next round of market opportunities.