You need to view phenomena with a trend-oriented perspective. Recently, Moltbot (also renamed OpenClaw) has become extremely popular. Besides various praise articles, there are also some opposing voices — claiming that it has no technical innovation whatsoever. In fact, whenever an AI application becomes popular, similar voices are not uncommon, such as the rise of Manus and the next day openManus emerged. The underlying implication is very clear — Manus has no technical barriers or innovations. Is this judgment correct? It doesn't matter. What is important? The two core inferences reflected behind this explosive popularity are what matter: 1. Market environment: this type of business model currently has a huge market 2. Model capability: top-tier closed-source models today can support this type of business model The explosion of Manus in early 2025 indicates that models can support the general agent business model and that there is a significant market. The explosion of OpenClaw indicates that, currently, models can support “active awakening, fully autonomous AI” business models and that there is a strong market. Knowing the trend and following the trend means being the pig at the wind’s crest. This is what truly matters.