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BTC Technical Outlook: Bearish Continuation After Key Support Loss
Bitcoin has completed a full distribution → breakdown → continuation structure. After failing to reclaim the $93K–$100K supply zone (0.5–0.618 Fib + EMA cluster), BTC rolled over and broke down aggressively, losing multiple support levels in sequence.
The recent impulse move pushed price deep into the $71K demand area, with momentum still tilted to the downside.
EMA Structure (Strong Bearish Bias)
20 EMA: $79,113
50 EMA: $85,310
100 EMA: $90,780
200 EMA: $95,997
Price is trading below all major EMAs, confirming a fully bearish market structure.
The $90K–$96K zone (100 & 200 EMA) is now heavy dynamic resistance.
Fibonacci & Market Structure
1 Fib: $126,123
0.786 Fib: $111,968
0.618 Fib: $100,850
0.5 Fib: $93,051
0.382 Fib: $85,746
0.236 Fib: $75,589
Fib 0: $59,980
BTC has clearly lost the 0.236 Fib ($75,589) and is now trading in the deep retracement zone (0.236 → 0 Fib).
Structural Context
BTC remains inside a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
The recent bounce is only a reaction from demand, not a trend reversal.
A trend shift requires: • Daily close back above $85K
• Then reclaim of $93K–$100K
Until that happens, structure remains bearish.
RSI Momentum
RSI (14): 34
RSI is still in bearish territory, showing weak momentum and no confirmed bullish divergence yet.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
• $75,600 (0.236 Fib)
• $85,700 (0.382 Fib)
• $93,000 (0.5 Fib)
• $100,800 (0.618 Fib)
Support
• $71,000–$69,000 (local demand)
• $60,000 (macro base / Fib 0)
📌 Summary
BTC remains in a markdown phase after the 2025 distribution top.
Price is below all EMAs, inside a bearish channel, and under key Fibonacci resistance.
Until BTC can reclaim and hold above $93K–$100K, the broader structure remains bearish and corrective, not bullish.
$BTC #CryptoMarketPullback