[Red Envelope] February 14: Show you a different kind of practical insights: buying and selling from the perspective of collective game theory!

Many people don’t understand buying, let alone selling. This article uses the market data from February 13 to review some core operations!

Let’s get straight to the point:

First, let’s look at the pre-market analysis released on the morning of February 13.

1. The game of the highest space board, currently with four 4-boards. Today, one normal upgrade is needed, which requires strong individual stocks and weak opponents, engaging in collective betting. Zhangyue Technology has four one-word boards. Today, unless there’s a small high open with high volume, and other stocks don’t meet expectations, there is still some betting value; otherwise, just watch. For Dajia Technology, unless the other three 4-5 boards all show significant negative feedback, and it passively opens the board after 14:30, there is betting value. Boya Shares need to surpass expectations in bidding, and only if the other three underperform should we consider. Decai Shares also need to exceed expectations.

Actual situation: In the combined bidding, Dajia Shares, Yabo Shares, and Dawi Technology can all be directly excluded. Only Zhangyue Technology has participation value.

① Dawi Technology: Those who have read my pre-market analysis generally won’t participate. Even if you haven’t seen the pre-market analysis, if you’ve read my previous introduction to the bidding model, a large order at 9:15 with over 6 million shares, stocks with over 6 million shares in the order book, generally can’t be participated in, so Dawi Technology at 9:15 can be directly excluded.

② Yabo Shares: If the bidding volume is normal or surges, it will be directly smashed. Why? Because Yabo Shares only had 66 million volume at open, yesterday’s bidding was 102 million, but the pre-market projection required 120 million, which is seriously below expectations. Moreover, the stock already showed absorption issues on Thursday, with smart funds starting to take profits then, and giving a premium on Friday was just profit-taking at any cost.

③ Decai Shares: The bidding volume is decreasing, which is a big taboo in the relay PK race of continuous boards, especially before the 5-board mark, often indicating the stock is about to break the board.

④ Zhangyue Technology: Bidding volume was 484 million, with a pre-market projection of over 400 million, perfectly matching the pre-market expectations. Plus, it aligns with my previously summarized general bidding model. When the bidding ends and the other three stocks are all below expectations, the bidding, mid-way, or hitting the board are all buy points.

Naturally, if the first three stocks don’t meet expectations or have bidding issues, they are sell points. Many fans previously said they couldn’t grasp sell points. Today’s review of Dawi Technology, Yabo Shares, and Dajia Technology represents three different types of sell points.

2. Two-in-three, 12 second boards. Normally, three upgrade, observing whether stocks exceed expectations for priority upgrade, with candidates like Haoliang Data and Zhuolang Intelligent. In the combined bidding, both didn’t meet expectations, but Haoliang Data’s bidding volume was higher than the previous day, and the previous day’s bidding was good, so I predict there will be a chance to take profits during intraday surge. Among the two-in-three, Yunnan Energy Holding and Meibang Shares are prioritized for upgrade. Additionally, Jiang Wuzhuang’s bidding was less than 50% of the previous day, so even if it ranks in the top three, it can’t be participated in, likely unable to hold the board. The only stock that could be involved in the two-in-three on that day was Jinshi Technology. The others naturally only had profit-taking points during surges. The final close saw exactly three stocks upgraded in the two-in-three.

Also, an early prediction can be made here: Yunnan Energy Holding actually had a profit-taking point on Friday, and after the holiday, there was no premium. This is just a reverse application of my personal model.

3. One-in-two, usually only filtered out after bidding ends. Observe Ningbo Jingda and Changhua Group. On Friday, many one-in-two stocks had little to no premium. The only somewhat unexpected was Hanlan Shares, but because the bidding model doesn’t quite fit the pattern, I only participated lightly.

Summary: Only Zhangyue Technology truly fits the pattern on Friday. In the worst case, even if there’s no premium after the holiday, a bidding volume of around 300 million could still provide intraday opportunities for surge and profit-taking. If news during the holiday exceeds expectations, it’s a normal winning rhythm.

This review mainly introduces individual stock buying and selling from the perspective of collective betting, as well as how to understand personal pre-market strategies and analysis. It was written during leisure time, hoping to be helpful to everyone.

Special thanks to @TianyaZhiGuiNiao, a member of Jinfen, for following closely. Looking forward to harvesting fish while also helping you achieve the catch, and experiencing a different ultra-short-term mindset!

Thanks to the support and tips from brothers: @TianyaZhiGuiNiao @HuantianYa @Qianlima1 @HongzhouMingge @IAmThatHusky @RepeatedCut @Xiyue1669 @QuantStockSea @ControlYourHandStableProfit @TianGuoZhiLu @YanyuMang @wuwugogogo @NuodaQincheng @WenYiShou6666 @MoeHaiSongTao @DaPa @FenshuiXunLong @KunBaby @SnowyDream @XiaoLongAA @IAmAlwaysSpring

Thanks to the following family members for their support: @JunYi @IAmThatHusky @BackThenXiaoShui @QuantStockSea @HuantianYa @LeisureTexas @EveningBreezePassing @YiBao @JiuDaCongMing001

Wishing everyone a Happy New Year, and may the new year bring even greater progress! Especially my Jinfen members, thank you for your support and trust. Believe in the power of belief! Ultimately, your efforts will be worth more than you invest.